Tennis · Challenger Cassis · 07/09, 10:00
Prediction: Gijs Brouwer vs Matteo Martineau
Team pages: Gijs Brouwer · Matteo Martineau
Prediction summary
Winner
Gijs Brouwer
Matteo Martineau
Estimated games
22.1
Recent form · 10 last
Gijs Brouwer
5-5 (W-L)
Matteo Martineau
6-4 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Gijs Brouwer
1–3
Matteo Martineau
(4 last)
- 23 Oct1-2 13-15L
- 10 Jan2-0 12-5W
- 23 Jan0-2 7-13L
- 19 Oct0-2 7-12L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Gijs Brouwer 1466 · Matteo Martineau 1522
| Gijs Brouwer | Matteo Martineau | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 42% | 58% |
| Market | 38% | 63% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Matteo Martineau (rating 1466 vs 1522).
- Head-to-head: Gijs Brouwer 1–3 Matteo Martineau (4).
- Note: Gijs Brouwer makes many double faults (7.5/match).
Statistics
| Gijs Brouwer | Matteo Martineau | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 40% (5) | 63% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.9-1.7 | 1.2-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 8.4-12.8 | 12.1-12 |
| Aces | 0.5 | 4 |
| Double faults | 7.5 | 3.5 |
| 1st serve % | 53.8% | 72.4% |
| Break % | 36.3% | 59.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.1
H2H · Gijs Brouwer 1 – 3 Matteo Martineau (4)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Gijs Brouwer 1–3 Matteo Martineau
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 23/10/23 Challenger Brest | 1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 10/01/22 Challenger Forli | 2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 23/01/21 M15 Bressuire | 0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 19/10/18 ITF France F22 | 0-2 | 7-12 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Gijs Brouwer
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/08 | Andres Martin Challenger Kingston · Hard |
1-2 | 13-18 | L |
| 08/08 | Lucas Poullain Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 07/08 | Koki Matsuda Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
2-1 | 13-12 | W |
| 04/08 | Manas Manoj Dhamne Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
2-1 | 16-10 | W |
| 12/07 | Tsung-Hao Huang Challenger Bunschoten · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 22/06 | Daniel Michalski Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 29/04 | Manas Manoj Dhamne Challenger Shymkent · Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 27/04 | Ivan Gakhov Challenger Shymkent · Clay |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 20/04 | Petr Bar Biryukov Challenger Shymkent · Clay |
1-2 | 10-15 | L |
| 24/03 | Lucas Poullain M25 Saint Dizier · ~Hard |
1-2 | 8-12 | L |
Matteo Martineau
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/08 | Emile Hudd Challenger Roehampton · Hard |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 24/08 | Billy Blaydes Challenger Roehampton · Hard |
2-1 | 16-10 | W |
| 18/08 | Lui Maxted Challenger Roehampton · Hard |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 28/07 | Max Dahlin Challenger Bonn · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 26/07 | Luka Pavlovic Challenger Segovia · Hard |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 25/07 | Oliver Crawford Challenger Segovia · Hard |
2-1 | 18-16 | W |
| 24/07 | Yanki Erel Challenger Segovia · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 23/07 | Gonzalo Villanueva Challenger Segovia · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 21/07 | Constantin Bittoun Kouzmine Challenger Segovia · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 14/07 | Gerard Campana Lee Challenger Bunschoten · Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Gijs Brouwer vs Matteo Martineau?
Our model gives 60% to Matteo Martineau, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.