Tennis · Challenger Cassis · 07/09, 10:00
Prediction: Titouan Droguet vs Maxime Chazal
Team pages: Titouan Droguet · Maxime Chazal
Prediction summary
Winner
Titouan Droguet
Maxime Chazal
Estimated games
22.1
Recent form · 10 last
Titouan Droguet
8-2 (W-L)
Maxime Chazal
9-1 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Titouan Droguet
1–0
Maxime Chazal
(1 last)
- 18 Jun2-0 13-6W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Titouan Droguet 1525 · Maxime Chazal 1613
| Titouan Droguet | Maxime Chazal | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 38% | 62% |
| Market | 87% | 13% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Maxime Chazal (rating 1525 vs 1613).
- Titouan Droguet dominates on serve: 6.4 aces and 44.3% break avg.
- Maxime Chazal is in better form: 90% recent wins.
- Head-to-head: Titouan Droguet 1–0 Maxime Chazal (1).
Statistics
| Titouan Droguet | Maxime Chazal | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 90% |
| Win % · Hard | 63% (8) | – |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-1.1 | 1.9-0.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.7-11.9 | 12.7-7.2 |
| Aces | 6.4 | 2.3 |
| Double faults | 3.9 | 1 |
| 1st serve % | 72.2% | 75.2% |
| Break % | 44.3% | 50.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.1
H2H · Titouan Droguet 1 – 0 Maxime Chazal (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Titouan Droguet 1–0 Maxime Chazal
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18/06/23 ITF M25 Grasse | 2-0 | 13-6 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Titouan Droguet
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/08 | Daniel Rincon US Open · Hard |
1-2 | 16-15 | L |
| 14/08 | Matteo Berrettini ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 13/08 | Stefanos Sakellaridis ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 12/08 | Alexei Popyrin ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 07/08 | Brandon Nakashima ATP Montreal · Hard |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
| 06/08 | Jaime Faria ATP Montreal · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 03/08 | Luca Van Assche ATP Montreal · Hard |
2-1 | 15-16 | W |
| 01/08 | Dalibor Svrcina ATP Montreal · Hard |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 22/07 | Hugo Gaston ATP Estoril · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 20/07 | Camilo Ugo Carabelli ATP Estoril · Clay |
2-1 | 15-10 | W |
Maxime Chazal
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/08 | Kenny de Schepper M15 Cap d'Agde |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 28/08 | Pierre Antoine Tailleu M15 Cap d'Agde |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 28/08 | Liam Branger M15 Cap d'Agde |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 27/08 | Daniel Bagnolini M15 Cap d'Agde |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 26/08 | Filip Malis M15 Cap d'Agde |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 13/08 | Michael Agwi M15 Trier |
1-2 | 16-16 | L |
| 12/08 | Kaspar Mathes M15 Trier |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 09/08 | Vincent Dullinger M15 Frankfurt |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 08/08 | David Fix M15 Frankfurt |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 07/08 | Ziga Sesko M15 Frankfurt |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Titouan Droguet vs Maxime Chazal?
Our model gives 65% to Titouan Droguet, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.