Tennis · Challenger Cassis · 07/09, 10:00
Prediction: Lenny Couturier vs Mark Lajal
Team pages: Lenny Couturier · Mark Lajal
Prediction summary
Winner
Lenny Couturier
Mark Lajal
Estimated games
21.8
Recent form · 10 last
Lenny Couturier
6-4 (W-L)
Mark Lajal
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Lenny Couturier 1495 · Mark Lajal 1570
| Lenny Couturier | Mark Lajal | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 39% | 61% |
| Market | 8% | 92% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Mark Lajal (rating 1495 vs 1570).
- Mark Lajal dominates on serve: 6.7 aces and 41.1% break avg.
- Note: Mark Lajal makes many double faults (4.5/match).
Statistics
| Lenny Couturier | Mark Lajal | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | – | 70% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.1 | 1.5-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.9-10 | 13.2-10.3 |
| Aces | 1.7 | 6.7 |
| Double faults | 1.8 | 4.5 |
| 1st serve % | 67.7% | 75.3% |
| Break % | 52.9% | 41.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.8
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Lenny Couturier
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/08 | Kenny de Schepper M15 Cap d'Agde |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 27/08 | Leo Raquillet M15 Cap d'Agde |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 25/08 | Zaccharie Cado M15 Cap d'Agde |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 15/07 | Florent Bax M25 Uriage |
1-2 | 7-18 | L |
| 06/07 | Rohan Mehra M25 The Hague |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 30/06 | Daniel Dutra Da Silva M25 Nivelles · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 29/06 | Marcel Hornung M25 Nivelles · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 28/06 | Melvin Vix M25 Nivelles · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 10/06 | Jeremy Schifris M15 Nyiregyhaza · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 09/06 | Baltazar Wiger Nordas M15 Nyiregyhaza · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Mark Lajal
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/09 | Felix Balshaw Challenger Manacor · Hard |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 04/09 | Alejo Sanchez Quilez Challenger Manacor · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 03/09 | Ivan Ivanov Challenger Manacor · Hard |
2-1 | 18-14 | W |
| 02/09 | Nicolai Budkov Kjaer Challenger Manacor · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 01/09 | Gabi Adrian Boitan Challenger Manacor · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 31/08 | Motoharu Abe Challenger Manacor · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 24/08 | Jordan Lee US Open · Hard |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 14/08 | Juan Manuel Cerundolo ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 13/08 | Aleksandar Vukic ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
2-1 | 18-14 | W |
| 13/08 | Dalibor Svrcina ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Lenny Couturier vs Mark Lajal?
Our model gives 78% to Mark Lajal, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.