Tennis · W50 Evora · 06/09, 13:30

Prediction: Ekaterina Yashina vs Paula Cembranos

Team pages: Ekaterina Yashina · Paula Cembranos

Prediction summary
Winner
40% 60%
Ekaterina Yashina Paula Cembranos
Estimated games
21.7
Recent form · 10 last
Ekaterina Yashina 6-4 (W-L)
WWLWWWLLWL
Paula Cembranos 6-4 (W-L)
LWWWWLWLWL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Ekaterina Yashina 1500 · Paula Cembranos 1554
Ekaterina YashinaPaula Cembranos
Our model42%58%
Market38%63%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Paula Cembranos (rating 1500 vs 1554).
  • Note: Paula Cembranos makes many double faults (7.9/match).

Statistics

Ekaterina YashinaPaula Cembranos
Win %50%70%
Win % · Hard 80% (5)
Sets (G-P)1.2-11.6-0.9
Games (G-P)10.3-912.6-10.9
Aces4.10.3
Double faults2.47.9
1st serve %68.9%58.7%
Break %69%43%
Estimated total games (ours) 21.7

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Ekaterina Yashina

WLLWL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
31/08 Raphaelle Lacasse
W50 Leiria
0-2 5-12 L
30/08 Teresa Franco Dias
W50 Leiria
2-0 12-5 W
25/08 Anastasija Cvetkovic
W35 Verbier
0-2 10-13 L
20/08 Franziska Sziedat
W35 Verbier
0-2 4-12 L
19/08 Diana Marcinkevica
W35 Verbier
2-0 13-7 W
13/08 Sonja Zhiyenbayeva
W35 Vigo
1-2 11-14 L
12/08 Emily Sartz-Lunde
W35 Vigo
2-0 12-6 W
05/08 Alicia Dudeney
W75 Ourense
1-2 12-16 L
03/08 Anna Orlando Pellicero
W75 Ourense
2-0 12-1 W
02/08 Carlota Corte
W75 Ourense
2-0 12-4 W

Paula Cembranos

LWWWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
22/08 Zoziya Kardava
W15 Logrono
1-2 13-15 L
21/08 Jenna Defalco
W15 Logrono
2-0 13-8 W
20/08 Zi Ying Ruan
W15 Logrono
2-1 17-16 W
18/08 Iveta Dapkute
W15 Logrono
2-1 18-13 W
07/08 Ella Mcdonald
W35 Roehampton · ~Hard
0-2 1-12 L
06/08 Lina Glushko
W35 Roehampton · ~Hard
2-0 10-3 W
04/08 Mio Mushika
W35 Roehampton · ~Hard
2-1 18-11 W
03/08 Mia Wainwright
W35 Roehampton · ~Hard
2-0 13-5 W
02/08 Lois Newberry
W35 Roehampton · ~Hard
2-0 11-9 W
29/07 Julia Stusek
W75 Hechingen
1-2 12-17 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Ekaterina Yashina vs Paula Cembranos?

Our model gives 60% to Paula Cembranos, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.