Prediction: Mary Lewis vs Alba Rey Garcia
Team pages: Mary Lewis · Alba Rey Garcia
Prediction summary
Winner
Mary Lewis
Alba Rey Garcia
Estimated games
21.4
Recent form · 10 last
Mary Lewis
3-7 (W-L)
Alba Rey Garcia
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Mary Lewis 1444 · Alba Rey Garcia 1486
| Mary Lewis | Alba Rey Garcia | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 44% | 56% |
| Market | 34% | 66% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Alba Rey Garcia (rating 1444 vs 1486).
- Note: Mary Lewis makes many double faults (5.9/match).
Statistics
| Mary Lewis | Alba Rey Garcia | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 0% (1) | 0% (1) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.9-1.5 | 1-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.5-12.9 | 9.9-11.2 |
| Aces | 0.1 | 0.4 |
| Double faults | 5.9 | 3.1 |
| 1st serve % | 51.1% | 56% |
| Break % | 41.8% | 41.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.4
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Mary Lewis
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/08 | Chelsea Fontenel W50 Leiria |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 30/08 | Ana Filipa Santos W50 Leiria |
2-1 | 18-15 | W |
| 23/08 | Darya Velikova W50 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
1-2 | 9-14 | L |
| 19/08 | Milena Steinkamp W35 Erwitte |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 11/08 | Mimi Xu W35 Aldershot |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 10/08 | Mia Wainwright W35 Aldershot |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 09/08 | Ekua Youri W35 Aldershot |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 22/07 | Mckenna Schaefbauer W35 Santa Fe |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 05/07 | Momoko Kobori WTA Newport · Grass |
1-2 | 8-16 | L |
| 30/06 | Malaika Rapolu W100 Cary · ~Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
Alba Rey Garcia
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/08 | Barbora Michalkova W50 Prague |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 16/08 | Agatha Chytilova W50 Prague |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 12/08 | Jasmijn Gimbrere W50 Hamburg |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 10/08 | Verena Meliss W50 Hamburg |
2-1 | 17-17 | W |
| 09/08 | Carolin Raschdorf W50 Hamburg |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 03/08 | Lucie Nguyen Tan W75 Koksijde |
1-2 | 12-17 | L |
| 02/08 | Seda Baslilar W75 Koksijde |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 26/07 | Lorena Solar Donoso W100 Gran Canaria |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 15/07 | Katarina Kuzmova W75 Vitoria Gasteiz |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 30/06 | Anna Kubareva W50 Elvas · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Mary Lewis vs Alba Rey Garcia?
Our model gives 62% to Alba Rey Garcia, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.