Prediction: Madalena Matias vs Celia Cervino Ruiz
Team pages: Madalena Matias · Celia Cervino Ruiz
Prediction summary
Winner
Madalena Matias
Celia Cervino Ruiz
Estimated games
20.4
Recent form · 10 last
Madalena Matias
2-8 (W-L)
Celia Cervino Ruiz
8-2 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Madalena Matias 1442 · Celia Cervino Ruiz 1506
| Madalena Matias | Celia Cervino Ruiz | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 41% | 59% |
| Market | 8% | 92% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Celia Cervino Ruiz (rating 1442 vs 1506).
- Celia Cervino Ruiz is in better form: 50% recent wins.
Statistics
| Madalena Matias | Celia Cervino Ruiz | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 20% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 40% (5) | 50% (2) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.4-1.6 | 1.1-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 5-11 | 10.5-10.5 |
| Aces | 0.1 | 1.6 |
| Double faults | 3.6 | 3.1 |
| 1st serve % | 46.9% | 60.6% |
| Break % | 24.9% | 48.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.4
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Madalena Matias
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/07 | Zoziya Kardava W50 Corroios-Seixal |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 01/07 | Han Shi W50 Elvas · ~Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 28/06 | Teresa Franco Dias W50 Elvas · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 31/05 | Charlotte Keitel W50 Montemor-o-Novo · ~Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 10/04 | Rebecca Sramkova Billie Jean King Cup |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 16/02 | Fiona Crawley WTA Oeiras · Clay |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 01/02 | Milana Zhabrailova W50 Porto |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 28/01 | Laura Mair W75 Porto |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 27/11 | Adrienn Nagy ITF W15 Lousada · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 25/11 | Gabriela M Vancea ITF W15 Lousada · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
Celia Cervino Ruiz
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/09 | Sofia Johnson W50 Leiria |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 02/09 | Carla Tomai W50 Leiria |
1-0 | 6-1 | W |
| 30/08 | Anne Christine Lutkemeyer Obregon W15 Torello · ~Hard |
1-2 | 10-16 | L |
| 29/08 | Julia Garcia W15 Torello · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 11/08 | Francisca Jorge W35 Vigo |
1-1 | 6-2 | W |
| 06/08 | Rina Saigo W75 Ourense |
1-2 | 15-19 | L |
| 05/08 | Yufei Ren W75 Ourense |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 13/07 | Liv Boulard W75 Vitoria Gasteiz |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 12/07 | Elizabeth Jurna W75 Vitoria Gasteiz |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 09/07 | Valentina Ryser W35 Don Benito |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Madalena Matias vs Celia Cervino Ruiz?
Our model gives 77% to Celia Cervino Ruiz, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.