Tennis · Challenger Cassis · 06/09, 10:00
Prediction: Matteo Covato vs Leo Raquillet
Team pages: Matteo Covato · Leo Raquillet
Prediction summary
Winner
Matteo Covato
Leo Raquillet
Estimated games
22.7
Recent form · 10 last
Matteo Covato
1-9 (W-L)
Leo Raquillet
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Matteo Covato 1391 · Leo Raquillet 1479
| Matteo Covato | Leo Raquillet | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 38% | 62% |
| Market | 13% | 87% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Leo Raquillet (rating 1391 vs 1479).
- Leo Raquillet is in better form: 40% recent wins.
Statistics
| Matteo Covato | Leo Raquillet | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 0% | 40% |
| Win % · Clay | 0% (4) | 43% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.3-2 | 1.3-1.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 8.1-13.2 | 12.7-11.8 |
| Aces | 4.3 | 2.3 |
| Double faults | 2.3 | 3 |
| 1st serve % | 61.1% | 67.4% |
| Break % | 26.1% | 55.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.7
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Matteo Covato
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/08 | Fausto Tabacco Challenger Como · Clay |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
| 26/08 | Luca Wiedenmann M25 Oldenzaal |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 18/08 | Denis Yevseyev M25 Ueberlingen |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 11/08 | Adrien Berrut M25 Muttenz |
1-2 | 12-18 | L |
| 29/07 | Joshua Peck M15 Huamantla · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 21/07 | Oliver Sanders M15 Huamantla · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 05/07 | Jesse Delaney Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 01/07 | Justin Schlageter M25 Marburg · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-11 | L |
| 16/06 | Noah Karma M25 Klosters · ~Clay |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 09/06 | Jan Kumstat M25 Ceska Lipa · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
Leo Raquillet
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/08 | Lenny Couturier M15 Cap d'Agde |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 25/08 | Matis Roche M15 Cap d'Agde |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 17/08 | Benjamin Hassan Challenger Sion · Clay |
1-2 | 14-15 | L |
| 16/08 | Adrien Berrut Challenger Sion · Clay |
2-1 | 16-9 | W |
| 02/08 | Oskari Paldanius Challenger Grodzisk Mazowiecki · Hard |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 26/07 | Georgii Kravchenko Challenger Liberec · Clay |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 12/07 | Jan Kumstat Challenger Bunschoten · Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 07/07 | Lorenzo Giustino Challenger Liege · Clay |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 06/07 | Franco Ribero Challenger Liege · Clay |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 05/07 | Tomohiro Masabayashi Challenger Liege · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Matteo Covato vs Leo Raquillet?
Our model gives 76% to Leo Raquillet, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.