Tennis · Challenger Cassis · 06/09, 10:00

Prediction: Yanis Ghazouani Durand vs Gray Voelzke

Team pages: Yanis Ghazouani Durand · Gray Voelzke

Prediction summary
Winner
76% 24%
Yanis Ghazouani Durand Gray Voelzke
Estimated games
21.9
Recent form · 10 last
Yanis Ghazouani Durand 6-4 (W-L)
WLWWLWLWWL
Gray Voelzke 1-9 (W-L)
LLLLLLWLLL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Yanis Ghazouani Durand 1520 · Gray Voelzke 1428
Yanis Ghazouani DurandGray Voelzke
Our model63%37%
Market88%12%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Yanis Ghazouani Durand (rating 1520 vs 1428).
  • Yanis Ghazouani Durand is in better form: 60% recent wins.
  • Note: Yanis Ghazouani Durand makes many double faults (5.2/match).
  • Note: Gray Voelzke makes many double faults (6.9/match).

Statistics

Yanis Ghazouani DurandGray Voelzke
Win %60%20%
Win % · Hard 25% (8)
Sets (G-P)1.4-1.10.6-1.7
Games (G-P)11.1-1010-13.8
Aces26
Double faults5.26.9
1st serve %66.4%71.8%
Break %51.5%32.7%
Estimated total games (ours) 21.9

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Yanis Ghazouani Durand

WWWLL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
30/08 Szymon Kielan
Challenger Porto · Clay
1-2 14-14 L
25/07 Nicolas Parizzia
M15 Segrate
1-2 10-14 L
24/07 Gabriele Bosio
M15 Segrate
2-0 12-3 W
23/07 Peter Buldorini
M15 Segrate
2-1 12-12 W
21/07 Gabriele Crivellaro
M15 Segrate
2-1 18-14 W
17/07 Geoffrey Blancaneaux
M25 Uriage
0-2 3-12 L
16/07 Arthur Bellegy
M25 Uriage
2-0 12-4 W
15/07 Pablo Pradat
M25 Uriage
2-1 14-10 W
12/07 Laurent Lokoli
M25 Bastia-Lucciana
0-2 4-12 L
11/07 Alexander Weis
M25 Bastia-Lucciana
2-0 12-5 W

Gray Voelzke

LWLLL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
26/08 Stian Klaassen
M25 Oldenzaal
0-2 6-12 L
09/08 Batiste Guerra
M25 Muttenz
0-2 7-13 L
23/07 Preston Brown
M15 Huamantla · ~Hard
0-2 6-13 L
22/07 Eugenio Gonzalez Fitzmaurice
M15 Huamantla · ~Hard
2-0 13-8 W
30/06 Kris Van Wyk
M15 Hillcrest · ~Hard
1-2 14-18 L
02/06 Yuya Hirose
M15 Harmon · ~Hard
1-2 18-20 L
24/05 Stefan Vujic
Challenger Centurion · Hard
0-2 8-13 L
21/05 Jake Dembo
M15 Gaborone · ~Hard
0-2 7-13 L
14/05 Udit Kamboj
M15 Gaborone · ~Hard
0-2 4-12 L
13/05 Edison Ambarzumjan
M15 Gaborone · ~Hard
2-1 17-16 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Yanis Ghazouani Durand vs Gray Voelzke?

Our model gives 76% to Yanis Ghazouani Durand, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.