Tennis · Challenger Cassis · 06/09, 13:00
Prediction: Mathieu Scaglia vs Amit Vales
Team pages: Mathieu Scaglia · Amit Vales
Prediction summary
Winner
Mathieu Scaglia
Amit Vales
Estimated games
24.1
Recent form · 10 last
Mathieu Scaglia
5-5 (W-L)
Amit Vales
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Mathieu Scaglia 1530 · Amit Vales 1546
| Mathieu Scaglia | Amit Vales | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 48% | 52% |
| Market | 31% | 69% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Amit Vales makes many double faults (4.7/match).
Statistics
| Mathieu Scaglia | Amit Vales | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | – | 67% (3) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-1.3 | 1.7-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.8-11.9 | 14.6-11.3 |
| Aces | 3.8 | 1.7 |
| Double faults | 3.8 | 4.7 |
| 1st serve % | 71.4% | 66.3% |
| Break % | 48.7% | 41% |
Estimated total games (ours)
24.1
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Mathieu Scaglia
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/08 | Pierre Delage M15 Cap d'Agde |
1-2 | 15-15 | L |
| 27/08 | Jaume Casas Blasi M15 Cap d'Agde |
2-1 | 18-12 | W |
| 25/08 | Nazim Makhlouf M15 Cap d'Agde |
2-1 | 15-9 | W |
| 21/08 | Pavel Lagutin M25 Idanha-A-Nova |
1-2 | 10-16 | L |
| 20/08 | Abdulhamid Mubarak M25 Idanha-A-Nova |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 19/08 | Maxwell McKennon M25 Idanha-A-Nova |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 13/08 | Pablo Perez Navarro M25 Idanha-A-Nova |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 11/08 | Ander Tarrio Ponte M25 Idanha-A-Nova |
2-1 | 18-14 | W |
| 24/07 | Julio Cesar Porras M15 Rognac |
1-2 | 16-15 | L |
| 22/07 | Nicholas Godsick M15 Rognac |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
Amit Vales
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/08 | Ignacio Parisca Romera Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
1-2 | 13-18 | L |
| 30/08 | Vardan Manukyan Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 15/08 | Oskari Paldanius M15 Turku |
1-2 | 15-16 | L |
| 14/08 | Arvid Nordquist M15 Turku |
2-1 | 13-11 | W |
| 13/08 | Dimitris Azoidis M15 Turku |
2-1 | 18-11 | W |
| 12/08 | Vesa Ahti M15 Turku |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 11/08 | Zach Stephens M15 Turku |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 05/08 | Daniil Glinka Challenger Grodzisk Mazowiecki · Hard |
1-2 | 15-14 | L |
| 04/08 | Alex Martinez Challenger Grodzisk Mazowiecki · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 03/08 | S D Prajwal Dev Challenger Grodzisk Mazowiecki · Hard |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Mathieu Scaglia vs Amit Vales?
Our model gives 61% to Amit Vales, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.