Tennis · Challenger Cassis · 06/09, 13:00
Prediction: Adil Kalyanpur vs Matisse Bobichon
Team pages: Matisse Bobichon
Prediction summary
Winner
Adil Kalyanpur
Matisse Bobichon
Estimated games
21.7
Recent form · 10 last
Adil Kalyanpur
4-6 (W-L)
Matisse Bobichon
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Adil Kalyanpur 1448 · Matisse Bobichon 1511
| Adil Kalyanpur | Matisse Bobichon | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 41% | 59% |
| Market | 16% | 84% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Matisse Bobichon (rating 1448 vs 1511).
- Matisse Bobichon dominates on serve: 6.8 aces and 45.3% break avg.
- Matisse Bobichon is in better form: 60% recent wins.
- Note: Adil Kalyanpur makes many double faults (4.7/match).
Statistics
| Adil Kalyanpur | Matisse Bobichon | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 33% (9) | 67% (3) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.8-1.7 | 1.3-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 9-12.7 | 11.7-10.7 |
| Aces | 1.2 | 6.8 |
| Double faults | 4.7 | 2.2 |
| 1st serve % | 59.2% | 73.2% |
| Break % | 36% | 45.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.7
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Adil Kalyanpur
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/06 | Sebastian Gima Challenger Targu Mures · Clay |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 17/05 | Taiyo Yamanaka Challenger Bengaluru · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 11/05 | Christopher Papa Challenger Bengaluru · Hard |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
| 10/05 | Nitin Kumar Sinha Challenger Bengaluru · Hard |
2-1 | 12-13 | W |
| 27/04 | Ivan Marrero Curbelo Challenger Abidjan · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 26/04 | Brandon Perez Challenger Abidjan Qual · Hard |
2-1 | 17-10 | W |
| 19/04 | Oskar Brostrom Poulsen Challenger Abidjan · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 09/02 | Nitin Kumar Sinha Challenger Chennai · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 08/02 | Atharva Sharma Challenger Chennai · Hard |
2-1 | 17-12 | W |
| 04/01 | Eero Vasa Challenger Bengaluru · Hard |
1-2 | 9-15 | L |
Matisse Bobichon
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/09 | Robin Bertrand M25 Bagneres-de-Bigorre |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 03/09 | Nicolas Tepmahc M25 Bagneres-de-Bigorre |
2-1 | 17-12 | W |
| 02/09 | Adan Freire Da Silva M25 Bagneres-de-Bigorre |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 22/07 | Daniel Jovanovski M15 Brisbane |
0-1 | 7-9 | L |
| 17/07 | Benjamin O'Connell M25 Brisbane |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 16/07 | Scott Jones M25 Brisbane |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 15/07 | Ymerali Ibraimi M25 Brisbane |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 04/07 | Laurent Lokoli M25 Ajaccio · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 03/07 | Benjamin Pietri M25 Ajaccio · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 02/07 | Viktor Durasovic M25 Ajaccio · ~Hard |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Adil Kalyanpur vs Matisse Bobichon?
Our model gives 73% to Matisse Bobichon, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.