Tennis · WTA Montreux · 06/09, 11:00
Prediction: Jule Niemeier vs Lucija Ciric Bagaric
Team pages: Jule Niemeier · Lucija Ciric Bagaric
Prediction summary
Winner
Jule Niemeier
Lucija Ciric Bagaric
Estimated games
20.9
Recent form · 10 last
Jule Niemeier
8-2 (W-L)
Lucija Ciric Bagaric
9-1 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Jule Niemeier
1–1
Lucija Ciric Bagaric
(2 last)
- 18 May0-2 7-12L
- 09 Sept2-1 13-10W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Jule Niemeier 1544 · Lucija Ciric Bagaric 1533
| Jule Niemeier | Lucija Ciric Bagaric | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 52% | 48% |
| Market | 54% | 46% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Jule Niemeier makes many double faults (9.5/match).
- Note: Lucija Ciric Bagaric makes many double faults (4.1/match).
Statistics
| Jule Niemeier | Lucija Ciric Bagaric | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | 50% (2) | 60% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.6-0.6 | 1.5-0.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.7-7.3 | 11.8-9.6 |
| Aces | 2.3 | 2.2 |
| Double faults | 9.5 | 4.1 |
| 1st serve % | 68% | 64.2% |
| Break % | 60.2% | 69.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.9
H2H · Jule Niemeier 1 – 1 Lucija Ciric Bagaric (2)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Jule Niemeier 1–1 Lucija Ciric Bagaric
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18/05/26 W75 Kosice | 0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 09/09/25 WTA Ljubljana | 2-1 | 13-10 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Jule Niemeier
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/08 | Tessa Johanna Brockmann W50 Oldenzaal |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 02/08 | Irina Balus W50 Knokke-Heist |
2-1 | 16-8 | W |
| 01/08 | Sarah Van Emst W50 Knokke-Heist |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 31/07 | Daria Yesypchuk W50 Knokke-Heist |
2-0 | 11-6 | W |
| 30/07 | Anastasiia Firman W50 Knokke-Heist |
2-0 | 12-0 | W |
| 29/07 | Sandra Samir W50 Knokke-Heist |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 27/07 | Julie Myatovic W50 Knokke-Heist |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 26/07 | Elfya Ba W50 Knokke-Heist |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 21/07 | Maria Lourdes Carle WTA Hamburg · Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 20/07 | Elena Malygina WTA Hamburg · Clay |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
Lucija Ciric Bagaric
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/08 | Elena Milovanovic W50 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
| 20/08 | Darya Astakhova W75 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
1-2 | 14-18 | L |
| 19/08 | Lea Boskovic W75 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 17/08 | Antonia Stoyanov W75 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 16/08 | Lana Virc W75 Kursumlijska Banja Qual · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 10/08 | Ksenia Zaytseva W75 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
1-2 | 9-15 | L |
| 09/08 | Bianca E Barbulescu W75 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 30/07 | Francesca Jones WTA Targu Mures · Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 28/07 | Rachel Gailis WTA Targu Mures · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 27/07 | Maria Sara Popa WTA Targu Mures · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Jule Niemeier vs Lucija Ciric Bagaric?
Our model gives 53% to Jule Niemeier, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.