Tennis · W50 Guiyang · 06/09, 07:00
Prediction: Patcharin Cheapchandej vs Eri Shimizu
Team pages: Patcharin Cheapchandej · Eri Shimizu
Prediction summary
Winner
Patcharin Cheapchandej
Eri Shimizu
Estimated games
21.5
Recent form · 10 last
Patcharin Cheapchandej
5-5 (W-L)
Eri Shimizu
5-5 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Patcharin Cheapchandej
1–0
Eri Shimizu
(1 last)
- 30 Aug2-1 15-12W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Patcharin Cheapchandej 1565 · Eri Shimizu 1523
| Patcharin Cheapchandej | Eri Shimizu | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 56% | 44% |
| Market | 65% | 35% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Patcharin Cheapchandej (rating 1565 vs 1523).
- Head-to-head: Patcharin Cheapchandej 1–0 Eri Shimizu (1).
Statistics
| Patcharin Cheapchandej | Eri Shimizu | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (2) | 67% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-0.8 | 1.3-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.7-9.8 | 12-10.3 |
| Aces | 0.5 | 0.5 |
| Double faults | 2.8 | 1.4 |
| 1st serve % | 61.4% | 64.9% |
| Break % | 52.1% | 54.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.5
H2H · Patcharin Cheapchandej 1 – 0 Eri Shimizu (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Patcharin Cheapchandej 1–0 Eri Shimizu
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30/08/25 ITF W35 Nakhon Pathom | 2-1 | 15-12 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Patcharin Cheapchandej
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/09 | Darya Astakhova W75 Tianjin |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 04/09 | Jiaqi Wang W75 Tianjin |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 03/09 | Fangran Tian W75 Tianjin |
2-1 | 15-16 | W |
| 02/09 | Jia-Jing Lu W75 Tianjin |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 31/08 | Momoko Kobori W75 Tianjin |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 30/08 | Kayo Nishimura W75 Tianjin |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 27/08 | Jia-Jing Lu W15 Tianjin |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 26/08 | Alexandra Malova W15 Tianjin |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 08/06 | Chengyiyi Yuan W100 Wuning · ~Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 07/06 | Ke Ren W100 Wuning · ~Hard |
2-1 | 12-9 | W |
Eri Shimizu
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/08 | Valeria Savinykh W75 Tianjin |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 18/06 | Misaki Matsuda W35 Taipei · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 17/06 | Nagi Hanatani W35 Taipei · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 12/06 | Mayuka Aikawa W15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 11/06 | Nanari Katsumi W15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 10/06 | Mutsumi Uemura W15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
2-1 | 16-15 | W |
| 22/05 | Yuki Naito W100 Takasaki · ~Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 20/05 | Han Shi W100 Takasaki · ~Hard |
2-1 | 16-9 | W |
| 19/05 | Nagi Hanatani W100 Takasaki · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 18/05 | Alexandra Osborne W100 Takasaki · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Patcharin Cheapchandej vs Eri Shimizu?
Our model gives 61% to Patcharin Cheapchandej, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.