Tennis · W50 Guiyang · 06/09, 07:00

Prediction: Sakura Hosogi vs Anna Kubareva

Team pages: Sakura Hosogi · Anna Kubareva

Prediction summary
Winner
54% 46%
Sakura Hosogi Anna Kubareva
Estimated games
21.8
Recent form · 10 last
Sakura Hosogi 5-5 (W-L)
LWWWLLLLWW
Anna Kubareva 7-3 (W-L)
WWLWWLWWLW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Sakura Hosogi 1473 · Anna Kubareva 1516
Sakura HosogiAnna Kubareva
Our model44%56%
Market63%38%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Anna Kubareva (rating 1473 vs 1516).
  • Note: Anna Kubareva makes many double faults (5.2/match).

Statistics

Sakura HosogiAnna Kubareva
Win %40%60%
Win % · Clay 0% (2) 67% (3)
Sets (G-P)1-1.41.3-1
Games (G-P)10.5-11.610.9-9.5
Aces0.80.4
Double faults0.95.2
1st serve %56.9%64.5%
Break %50%42.9%
Estimated total games (ours) 21.8

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Sakura Hosogi

WLLLL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
30/08 Rinko Matsuda
W75 Tianjin
1-2 17-18 L
18/08 Haruka Kaji
W75 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay
1-2 10-16 L
12/08 Lea Boskovic
W75 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay
0-2 3-12 L
22/07 Darja Vidmanova
W100 Evansville
0-2 6-13 L
22/07 Ena Koike
W100 Evansville
2-1 15-13 W
18/07 Sara Saito
W75 Granby
0-2 6-12 L
17/07 Ena Koike
W75 Granby
2-1 18-14 W
16/07 Alexandra Vagramov
W75 Granby
2-0 12-4 W
15/07 Hayu Kinoshita
W75 Granby
2-0 12-3 W
12/07 Julieta Pareja
W50 Columbus
0-2 6-11 L

Anna Kubareva

LWWLL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
12/08 Arantxa Rus
W35 Vigo
1-2 10-15 L
05/08 Sonja Zhiyenbayeva
W75 Ourense
0-2 6-13 L
03/08 Alice Ferlito
W75 Ourense
2-1 13-9 W
02/08 Min Liu
W75 Ourense
2-0 12-4 W
02/07 Hina Inoue
W50 Elvas · ~Hard
0-2 6-12 L
30/06 Alba Rey Garcia
W50 Elvas · ~Hard
2-0 12-4 W
29/06 Miroslava Medvedeva
W50 Elvas · ~Hard
2-1 15-8 W
26/06 Ayla Aksu
W50 Palma del Rio · ~Clay
0-2 8-13 L
25/06 Aliona Falei
W50 Palma del Rio · ~Clay
2-0 14-11 W
23/06 Polina Isakova
W50 Palma del Rio · ~Clay
2-0 13-6 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Sakura Hosogi vs Anna Kubareva?

Our model gives 54% to Sakura Hosogi, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.