Tennis · UTR Pro Waco Women · 05/09, 18:30
Prediction: Maria Ustic vs Duanrui Gao
Team pages: Maria Ustic · Duanrui Gao
Prediction summary
Winner
Maria Ustic
Duanrui Gao
Estimated games
20.4
Recent form · 10 last
Maria Ustic
4-6 (W-L)
Duanrui Gao
3-7 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Maria Ustic 1517 · Duanrui Gao 1477
| Maria Ustic | Duanrui Gao | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 56% | 44% |
| Market | 81% | 19% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Maria Ustic (rating 1517 vs 1477).
- Note: Maria Ustic makes many double faults (6/match).
Statistics
| Maria Ustic | Duanrui Gao | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 75% (4) | 38% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.3 | 0.8-1.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.1-11.9 | 8.1-10.4 |
| Aces | 3 | 0.1 |
| Double faults | 6 | 3.3 |
| 1st serve % | 60.8% | 51.1% |
| Break % | 35.8% | 51.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.4
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Maria Ustic
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/09 | Kayla Schefke UTR Pro Waco Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 03/09 | Alina Shcherbinina UTR Pro Waco Women · Hard |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 02/09 | Ligaya Murray UTR Pro Waco Women · Hard |
2-1 | 16-18 | W |
| 01/09 | Jade Psonka UTR Pro Waco Women · Hard |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 18/04 | Jana Bojovic UTR Pro Beograd Women · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 17/04 | Aleksandra Djokic UTR Pro Beograd Women · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 16/04 | Julia Stamatova UTR Pro Beograd Women · Clay |
2-1 | 14-11 | W |
| 15/04 | Simona Ogescu UTR Pro Beograd Women · Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 14/04 | Karine Sarkisova UTR Pro Beograd Women · Clay |
1-2 | 12-12 | L |
| 08/04 | Sara Victoria Balan UTR Pro Beograd Women · Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
Duanrui Gao
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/09 | Maia Loureiro UTR Pro Waco Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 03/09 | Noemie Dadoun UTR Pro Waco Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 02/09 | Waverly Potter UTR Pro Waco Women · Hard |
2-1 | 18-11 | W |
| 01/09 | Anastasia Abbagnato UTR Pro Waco Women · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 13/08 | Yu Jun Lin W15 Tianjin |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 11/08 | Michika Ozeki W15 Tianjin |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 07/07 | Xinyi Nong W15 Luan · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 20/05 | Yidi Yang W35 Wuning · ~Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 18/05 | Tiana Tian Deng W35 Wuning · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 13/05 | Zijun Jiang W15 Luan · ~Hard |
0-2 | 1-11 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Maria Ustic vs Duanrui Gao?
Our model gives 70% to Maria Ustic, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.