Tennis · UTR Pro Waco Women · 03/09, 21:30
Prediction: Alina Shcherbinina vs Maria Ustic
Team pages: Alina Shcherbinina · Maria Ustic
Prediction summary
Winner
Alina Shcherbinina
Maria Ustic
Estimated games
21.1
Recent form · 10 last
Alina Shcherbinina
9-1 (W-L)
Maria Ustic
3-7 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Alina Shcherbinina 1617 · Maria Ustic 1505
| Alina Shcherbinina | Maria Ustic | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 66% | 34% |
| Market | 89% | 11% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Alina Shcherbinina (rating 1617 vs 1505).
- Alina Shcherbinina is in better form: 90% recent wins.
- Note: Alina Shcherbinina makes many double faults (4.8/match).
- Note: Maria Ustic makes many double faults (9/match).
Statistics
| Alina Shcherbinina | Maria Ustic | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 90% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 100% (8) | 100% (2) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.9-0.4 | 1.2-1.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.3-6.3 | 11.2-12.7 |
| Aces | 1.4 | 2 |
| Double faults | 4.8 | 9 |
| 1st serve % | 64.7% | 59% |
| Break % | 63.2% | 42.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.1
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Alina Shcherbinina
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/09 | Ligaya Murray UTR Pro Waco Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 01/09 | Kayla Schefke UTR Pro Waco Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 30/08 | Lexie Weir UTR Pro Boise Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 29/08 | Carla Grignac UTR Pro Boise Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 28/08 | Valentina Vachkova UTR Pro Boise Women · Hard |
2-1 | 16-7 | W |
| 27/08 | Louise Booker UTR Pro Boise Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 25/08 | Lauren Nolan UTR Pro Boise Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 24/08 | Stella Beldiman UTR Pro Boise Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 06/08 | Carson Tanguilig W35 Southaven |
1-2 | 12-18 | L |
| 04/08 | Jensen Diianni W35 Southaven |
2-1 | 11-9 | W |
Maria Ustic
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/09 | Ligaya Murray UTR Pro Waco Women · Hard |
2-1 | 16-18 | W |
| 01/09 | Jade Psonka UTR Pro Waco Women · Hard |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 18/04 | Jana Bojovic UTR Pro Beograd Women · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 17/04 | Aleksandra Djokic UTR Pro Beograd Women · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 16/04 | Julia Stamatova UTR Pro Beograd Women · Clay |
2-1 | 14-11 | W |
| 15/04 | Simona Ogescu UTR Pro Beograd Women · Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 14/04 | Karine Sarkisova UTR Pro Beograd Women · Clay |
1-2 | 12-12 | L |
| 08/04 | Sara Victoria Balan UTR Pro Beograd Women · Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 07/04 | Alexa Karatancheva UTR Pro Beograd Women · Clay |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
| 06/04 | Stefania Bojica UTR Pro Beograd Women · Clay |
1-2 | 9-16 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Alina Shcherbinina vs Maria Ustic?
Our model gives 78% to Alina Shcherbinina, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.