Tennis · Challenger Como MD · 05/09, 11:30
Prediction: Drzewiecki/Matuszewski vs Kalender/Serdarusic
Team pages: Drzewiecki/Matuszewski · Kalender/Serdarusic
Prediction summary
Winner
Drzewiecki/Matuszewski
Kalender/Serdarusic
Estimated games
25.7
Recent form · 10 last
Drzewiecki/Matuszewski
8-2 (W-L)
Kalender/Serdarusic
10-0 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Drzewiecki/Matuszewski 1559 · Kalender/Serdarusic 1627
| Drzewiecki/Matuszewski | Kalender/Serdarusic | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 40% | 60% |
| Market | 46% | 54% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Kalender/Serdarusic (rating 1559 vs 1627).
- Kalender/Serdarusic is in better form: 100% recent wins.
Statistics
| Drzewiecki/Matuszewski | Kalender/Serdarusic | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 100% |
| Win % · Clay | 70% (10) | 100% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-0.9 | 2-0.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 15.4-12.7 | 15.2-10.7 |
| Aces | 4 | 5.7 |
| Double faults | 2.4 | 1.3 |
| 1st serve % | 74% | 80.5% |
| Break % | 48.2% | 24.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
25.7
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Drzewiecki/Matuszewski
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/09 | Sabanov/Sabanov Challenger Como MD · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 03/09 | Clarke/Feldbausch Challenger Como MD · Clay |
2-1 | 23-19 | W |
| 02/09 | Bass/Soto Challenger Como MD · Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 23/07 | Ponchet/Brostrom Poulsen Challenger Tampere MD · Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 21/07 | Neos/Pawlak Challenger Tampere MD · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 09/07 | Sabanov/Sabanov Challenger Iasi MD · Clay |
1-2 | 18-19 | L |
| 08/07 | Kielan/Poljak Challenger Iasi MD · Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 20/06 | Martos Gornes/Walkow Challenger Poznan MD · Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 20/06 | Cervantes/Molchanov Challenger Poznan MD · Clay |
2-1 | 23-16 | W |
| 18/06 | Castelnuovo/Santillan Challenger Poznan MD · Clay |
2-1 | 23-18 | W |
Kalender/Serdarusic
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/09 | Forcano/Vervoort Challenger Como MD · Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 03/09 | Dodig/Poljicak Challenger Como MD · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 02/09 | Hermans/Parizzia Challenger Como MD · Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 15/08 | McDonald/Opitz Challenger Hamburg MD · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 14/08 | Martos Gornes/Walkow Challenger Hamburg MD · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 13/08 | Merino/Zhu Challenger Hamburg MD · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 12/08 | Bass/Jans Challenger Hamburg MD · Clay |
2-1 | 22-15 | W |
| 08/08 | Bass/Jans Challenger Hagen MD · Clay |
2-1 | 22-21 | W |
| 07/08 | Kolar/Vocel Challenger Hagen MD · Clay |
2-1 | 20-17 | W |
| 06/08 | Loof/Uesugi Challenger Hagen MD · Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Drzewiecki/Matuszewski vs Kalender/Serdarusic?
Our model gives 56% to Kalender/Serdarusic, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.