Tennis · Challenger Como MD · 04/09, 15:30
Prediction: Drzewiecki/Matuszewski vs Sabanov/Sabanov
Team pages: Drzewiecki/Matuszewski · Sabanov/Sabanov
Prediction summary
Winner
Drzewiecki/Matuszewski
Sabanov/Sabanov
Estimated games
26.4
Recent form · 10 last
Drzewiecki/Matuszewski
8-2 (W-L)
Sabanov/Sabanov
2-8 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Drzewiecki/Matuszewski
2–1
Sabanov/Sabanov
(3 last)
- 09 Jul1-2 18-19L
- 22 Nov2-1 22-21W
- 25 Nov2-0 13-9W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Drzewiecki/Matuszewski 1554 · Sabanov/Sabanov 1505
| Drzewiecki/Matuszewski | Sabanov/Sabanov | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 57% | 43% |
| Market | 61% | 39% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Drzewiecki/Matuszewski (rating 1554 vs 1505).
- Head-to-head: Drzewiecki/Matuszewski 2–1 Sabanov/Sabanov (3).
- Note: Sabanov/Sabanov makes many double faults (4/match).
Statistics
| Drzewiecki/Matuszewski | Sabanov/Sabanov | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | 70% (10) | 50% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-1 | 1.1-1.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 16-13.5 | 14-14 |
| Aces | 3.3 | 1 |
| Double faults | 2.7 | 4 |
| 1st serve % | 72.8% | 66.2% |
| Break % | 50.7% | 40.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
26.4
H2H · Drzewiecki/Matuszewski 2 – 1 Sabanov/Sabanov (3)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Drzewiecki/Matuszewski 2–1 Sabanov/Sabanov
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 09/07/26 Challenger Iasi MD | 1-2 | 18-19 | L |
| 22/11/24 Challenger Montemar MD | 2-1 | 22-21 | W |
| 25/11/21 Challenger Bari MD | 2-0 | 13-9 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Drzewiecki/Matuszewski
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/09 | Clarke/Feldbausch Challenger Como MD · Clay |
2-1 | 23-19 | W |
| 02/09 | Bass/Soto Challenger Como MD · Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 23/07 | Ponchet/Brostrom Poulsen Challenger Tampere MD · Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 21/07 | Neos/Pawlak Challenger Tampere MD · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 09/07 | Sabanov/Sabanov Challenger Iasi MD · Clay |
1-2 | 18-19 | L |
| 08/07 | Kielan/Poljak Challenger Iasi MD · Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 20/06 | Martos Gornes/Walkow Challenger Poznan MD · Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 20/06 | Cervantes/Molchanov Challenger Poznan MD · Clay |
2-1 | 23-16 | W |
| 18/06 | Castelnuovo/Santillan Challenger Poznan MD · Clay |
2-1 | 23-18 | W |
| 17/06 | Liutarevich/Pieczonka Challenger Poznan MD · Clay |
2-1 | 18-13 | W |
Sabanov/Sabanov
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/09 | Cornea/Vrbensky Challenger Como MD · Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 02/09 | Jecan/Pavel Challenger Como MD · Clay |
2-1 | 21-15 | W |
| 11/08 | Basel/Ribero Challenger Todi MD · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 29/07 | Dullinger/Kudernatsch Challenger Bonn MD · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 22/07 | Niklas-Salminen/Vrbensky Challenger Tampere MD · Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 12/07 | Grevelius/Heinonen Challenger Iasi MD · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 10/07 | Jecan/Pavel Challenger Iasi MD · Clay |
2-1 | 22-9 | W |
| 09/07 | Drzewiecki/Matuszewski Challenger Iasi MD · Clay |
2-1 | 19-18 | W |
| 08/07 | Kolar/Neuchrist Challenger Iasi MD · Clay |
2-1 | 19-18 | W |
| 30/06 | Neuchrist/Vrbensky Challenger Brasov MD · Clay |
1-2 | 18-21 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Drzewiecki/Matuszewski vs Sabanov/Sabanov?
Our model gives 59% to Drzewiecki/Matuszewski, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.