Prediction: Hayden Jones vs Ryotaro Taguchi
Team pages: Hayden Jones · Ryotaro Taguchi
Prediction summary
Winner
Hayden Jones
Ryotaro Taguchi
Estimated games
20.2
Recent form · 10 last
Hayden Jones
7-3 (W-L)
Ryotaro Taguchi
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Hayden Jones 1608 · Ryotaro Taguchi 1560
| Hayden Jones | Ryotaro Taguchi | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 57% | 43% |
| Market | 46% | 54% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Hayden Jones (rating 1608 vs 1560).
- Note: Hayden Jones makes many double faults (4.4/match).
Statistics
| Hayden Jones | Ryotaro Taguchi | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 90% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 89% (9) | 50% (2) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.8-0.4 | 1.4-0.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.2-8.2 | 11.2-8.2 |
| Aces | 4.8 | 2.7 |
| Double faults | 4.4 | 1.5 |
| 1st serve % | 70% | 69.6% |
| Break % | 48% | 43.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.2
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Hayden Jones
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/09 | Blake Ellis M15 Bali |
2-1 | 13-14 | W |
| 28/08 | Eric Tripathi UTR Pro Gold Coast · Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 27/08 | Derek Pham UTR Pro Gold Coast · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 25/08 | Oscar Andrews UTR Pro Gold Coast · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 24/08 | Jacob Cairncross UTR Pro Gold Coast · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 07/08 | Omar Jasika UTR Pro Brisbane · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 06/08 | Scott Jones UTR Pro Brisbane · Hard |
2-1 | 15-15 | W |
| 05/08 | Thomas Nicholas Gadecki UTR Pro Brisbane · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 04/08 | Brendan Loh UTR Pro Brisbane · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 03/08 | Marcus Schoeman UTR Pro Brisbane · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
Ryotaro Taguchi
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/09 | Thomas Patton M15 Bali |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 02/09 | Nick Beamish M15 Bali |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 30/07 | Sanhui Shin M15 Bali |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 28/07 | Daisuke Sumizawa M15 Bali |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 25/07 | Ryuki Matsuda M15 Bali |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 24/07 | Isaac Becroft M15 Bali |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 23/07 | Arjun Rathi M15 Bali |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 21/07 | Yuta Kawahashi M15 Bali |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 08/07 | Yusuke Kusuhara M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 07/07 | Ko Suzuki M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Hayden Jones vs Ryotaro Taguchi?
Our model gives 51% to Hayden Jones, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.