Tennis · W15 Badalona · 03/09, 10:00
Prediction: Anne Christine Lutkemeyer Obregon vs Ashley Lahey
Team pages: Anne Christine Lutkemeyer Obregon · Ashley Lahey
Prediction summary
Winner
Anne Christine Lutkemeyer Obregon
Ashley Lahey
Estimated games
21.8
Recent form · 10 last
Anne Christine Lutkemeyer Obregon
7-3 (W-L)
Ashley Lahey
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Anne Christine Lutkemeyer Obregon 1613 · Ashley Lahey 1523
| Anne Christine Lutkemeyer Obregon | Ashley Lahey | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 63% | 37% |
| Market | 39% | 61% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Anne Christine Lutkemeyer Obregon (rating 1613 vs 1523).
- Anne Christine Lutkemeyer Obregon is in better form: 90% recent wins.
- Note: Anne Christine Lutkemeyer Obregon makes many double faults (4.3/match).
Statistics
| Anne Christine Lutkemeyer Obregon | Ashley Lahey | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 90% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | 100% (1) | 33% (3) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.8-0.5 | 1.1-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.8-8.8 | 10.9-9.4 |
| Aces | 1.9 | 2.5 |
| Double faults | 4.3 | 2.4 |
| 1st serve % | 69.6% | 66.9% |
| Break % | 50% | 47.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.8
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Anne Christine Lutkemeyer Obregon
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/09 | Carlota Corte W15 Badalona · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-0 | W |
| 30/08 | Celia Cervino Ruiz W15 Torello · ~Hard |
2-1 | 16-10 | W |
| 29/08 | Katarina Kuzmova W15 Torello · ~Hard |
2-1 | 14-15 | W |
| 28/08 | Alice Ferlito W15 Torello · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 27/08 | Kate Sharabura W15 Torello · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 25/08 | Aleksandra Pozarenko W15 Torello · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 08/08 | Annika Penickova W35 Southaven |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 07/08 | Carson Tanguilig W35 Southaven |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 07/08 | Gloriana Nahum W35 Southaven |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 05/08 | Victoria Rodriguez W35 Southaven |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
Ashley Lahey
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/09 | Lucia Natal W15 Badalona · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 30/08 | Ilinca D Amariei W15 Brasov |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
| 29/08 | Cristiana Nicoleta Todoni W15 Brasov |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 27/08 | Stefania Bojica W15 Brasov |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 26/08 | Simona Cucu W15 Brasov |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 14/07 | Dasha Ivanova W35 Dallas |
0-2 | 2-8 | L |
| 16/06 | Sophie Luescher W35 Klosters · ~Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 09/06 | Mariia Makarova W15 Madrid |
1-2 | 14-13 | L |
| 04/06 | Maileen Nuudi W15 Ontinyent · ~Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 07/10 | Diletta Cherubini ITF W100 Edmond |
0-2 | 7-11 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Anne Christine Lutkemeyer Obregon vs Ashley Lahey?
Our model gives 50% to Anne Christine Lutkemeyer Obregon, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.