Tennis · W15 Badalona · 05/09, 10:00
Prediction: Laura Mair vs Marianne Argyrokastriti
Team pages: Laura Mair · Marianne Argyrokastriti
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Prediction summary
Winner
Laura Mair
Marianne Argyrokastriti
Estimated games
20.7
Recent form · 10 last
Laura Mair
5-5 (W-L)
Marianne Argyrokastriti
7-3 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Laura Mair
1–0
Marianne Argyrokastriti
(1 last)
- 14 Oct2-0 13-9W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Laura Mair 1496 · Marianne Argyrokastriti 1537
| Laura Mair | Marianne Argyrokastriti | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 44% | 56% |
| Market | 50% | 50% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Marianne Argyrokastriti (rating 1496 vs 1537).
- Head-to-head: Laura Mair 1–0 Marianne Argyrokastriti (1).
- Note: Marianne Argyrokastriti makes many double faults (4.9/match).
Statistics
| Laura Mair | Marianne Argyrokastriti | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | 100% (2) | 71% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1-1.2 | 1.4-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.3-10 | 11.3-8.8 |
| Aces | 1.2 | 0.9 |
| Double faults | 3.7 | 4.9 |
| 1st serve % | 58.5% | 61.9% |
| Break % | 54% | 49% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.7
H2H · Laura Mair 1 – 0 Marianne Argyrokastriti (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Laura Mair 1–0 Marianne Argyrokastriti
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14/10/25 W35 Heraklion | 2-0 | 13-9 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Laura Mair
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/09 | Ana Giraldi Requena W15 Badalona · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 03/09 | Aliesia Reva W15 Badalona · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 26/08 | Marie Mettraux W35 Trieste |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 24/08 | Sofia Shapatava W35 Trieste |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 18/08 | Yelyzaveta Kotliar W50 Prague |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 11/08 | Sonja Zhenikhova W50 Hamburg |
1-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 04/08 | Tina Manescu W75 Leipzig |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 27/07 | Emma Lene W100 Gran Canaria |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 26/07 | Victoria Vidal W100 Gran Canaria |
2-0 | 11-2 | W |
| 21/07 | Aneta Kucmova W100 Amstetten |
1-2 | 11-18 | L |
Marianne Argyrokastriti
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/09 | Adriana Monlleo Ramos W15 Badalona · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 01/09 | Gabriela Paun W15 Badalona · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 26/08 | Martina Colmegna W35 Trieste |
1-2 | 10-15 | L |
| 24/08 | Fabiola Marino W35 Trieste |
2-1 | 11-10 | W |
| 19/08 | Maria Andrienko W15 Wanfercee-Baulet |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 04/08 | Ekaterina Agureeva W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
1-2 | 16-14 | L |
| 01/08 | Ariana Geerlings W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 31/07 | Arina Bulatova W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 30/07 | Andrea Obradovic W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 28/07 | Alessia Antici W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Laura Mair vs Marianne Argyrokastriti?
Our model gives 53% to Marianne Argyrokastriti, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.