Tennis · W15 Badalona · 03/09, 10:00
Prediction: Aleksandra Pozarenko vs Isabelle Cherny
Team pages: Aleksandra Pozarenko · Isabelle Cherny
Prediction summary
Winner
Aleksandra Pozarenko
Isabelle Cherny
Estimated games
19.8
Recent form · 10 last
Aleksandra Pozarenko
4-6 (W-L)
Isabelle Cherny
2-8 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Aleksandra Pozarenko 1502 · Isabelle Cherny 1444
| Aleksandra Pozarenko | Isabelle Cherny | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 58% | 42% |
| Market | 71% | 29% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Aleksandra Pozarenko (rating 1502 vs 1444).
- Note: Aleksandra Pozarenko makes many double faults (6.8/match).
Statistics
| Aleksandra Pozarenko | Isabelle Cherny | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 30% |
| Win % · Clay | 67% (6) | 33% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.9-1.4 | 0.7-1.5 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.6-9.8 | 6.4-10.2 |
| Aces | 1.2 | 0.2 |
| Double faults | 6.8 | 3.1 |
| 1st serve % | 62.7% | 45.7% |
| Break % | 55.9% | 35.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
19.8
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Aleksandra Pozarenko
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/09 | Georgina Garcia-Perez W15 Badalona · ~Clay |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 25/08 | Anne Christine Lutkemeyer Obregon W15 Torello · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 19/08 | Charo Esquiva Banuls W15 Logrono |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 16/07 | Petra Konjikusic W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 15/07 | Mia Milisavljevic W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 08/07 | Viktoria Veleva W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 06/07 | Nadja Mladenovic W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-1 | 11-6 | W |
| 30/06 | Elza Tomase W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 28/04 | Anna Shkutova W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
1-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 22/04 | Ada Kumru W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
Isabelle Cherny
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/07 | Carlotta Moccia W15 Krsko |
1-2 | 11-11 | L |
| 17/06 | Lucciana Perez Alarcon W35 San Gregorio · ~Clay |
0-2 | 0-12 | L |
| 16/06 | Matilde Magrini W35 San Gregorio · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 04/06 | Dora Miskovic W15 Osijek · ~Clay |
0-2 | 1-7 | L |
| 26/05 | Sapfo Sakellaridi W35 Bol · ~Clay |
0-2 | 0-12 | L |
| 19/05 | Valentina Ivanov W35 Bol · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 06/05 | Ruth Roura Llaverias W35 Platja d'Aro · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 05/05 | Maia Ilinca Burcescu W35 Platja d'Aro · ~Clay |
2-1 | 10-10 | W |
| 29/04 | Luna Vujovic W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-13 | L |
| 27/04 | Lingling Zhu W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Aleksandra Pozarenko vs Isabelle Cherny?
Our model gives 65% to Aleksandra Pozarenko, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.