Tennis · W15 Haren · 03/09, 11:00
Prediction: Jade Groen vs Lisa Claeys
Team pages: Jade Groen · Lisa Claeys
Prediction summary
Winner
Jade Groen
Lisa Claeys
Estimated games
21.6
Recent form · 10 last
Jade Groen
2-8 (W-L)
Lisa Claeys
3-7 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Jade Groen 1469 · Lisa Claeys 1524
| Jade Groen | Lisa Claeys | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 42% | 58% |
| Market | 46% | 54% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Lisa Claeys (rating 1469 vs 1524).
- Note: Jade Groen makes many double faults (4.1/match).
- Note: Lisa Claeys makes many double faults (4.8/match).
Statistics
| Jade Groen | Lisa Claeys | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | 33% (3) | – |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.8-1.4 | 1.2-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 9-11 | 10.9-11.5 |
| Aces | 0.2 | 1.6 |
| Double faults | 4.1 | 4.8 |
| 1st serve % | 51.7% | 58% |
| Break % | 52.4% | 46.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.6
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Jade Groen
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/09 | Mirjana Jovanovic W15 Haren |
2-0 | 9-4 | W |
| 25/08 | Enola Chiesa W50 Oldenzaal |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 24/08 | Carolin Raschdorf W50 Oldenzaal |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 05/07 | Nina Vargova W75 The Hague |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 30/06 | Linea Bajraliu W35 Amstelveen · ~Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 25/06 | Merel Hoedt W15 Alkmaar · ~Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 24/06 | Daniela Vismane W15 Alkmaar · ~Clay |
2-1 | 16-16 | W |
| 13/11 | DJ Bennett ITF W15 Clemson · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 12/11 | Bella Bergkvist Larsson ITF W15 Clemson · Hard |
2-1 | 16-10 | W |
| 31/10 | Janae Preston ITF W15 Sumter · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
Lisa Claeys
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/09 | Anna Burchak W15 Haren |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 26/08 | Valentini Grammatikopoulou W35 Verbier |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 23/08 | Maria Andrienko W15 Wanfercee-Baulet |
0-2 | 5-13 | L |
| 22/08 | Rikke De Koning W15 Wanfercee-Baulet |
2-1 | 18-12 | W |
| 21/08 | Warda Ait El Bachir W15 Wanfercee-Baulet |
2-1 | 15-14 | W |
| 20/08 | Meritxell Teixido Garcia W15 Wanfercee-Baulet |
2-1 | 15-15 | W |
| 19/08 | Demi Tran W15 Wanfercee-Baulet |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 02/08 | Diana Martynov W75 Koksijde |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 27/07 | Anastasiia Firman W50 Knokke-Heist |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 26/07 | Martina Lo Pumo W50 Knokke-Heist |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Jade Groen vs Lisa Claeys?
Our model gives 56% to Lisa Claeys, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.