Tennis · W15 Haren · 02/09, 11:00

Prediction: Alina Nesmianovych vs Lian Tran

Team pages: Lian Tran

Prediction summary
Winner
28% 72%
Alina Nesmianovych Lian Tran
Estimated games
22.1
Recent form · 10 last
Alina Nesmianovych 2-8 (W-L)
LLLLLWWLLL
Lian Tran 3-7 (W-L)
LLWWLLLLWL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Alina Nesmianovych 1482 · Lian Tran 1468
Alina NesmianovychLian Tran
Our model52%48%
Market8%92%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Note: Alina Nesmianovych makes many double faults (10.2/match).
  • Note: Lian Tran makes many double faults (4.3/match).

Statistics

Alina NesmianovychLian Tran
Win %40%40%
Win % · Clay 44% (9)
Sets (G-P)0.9-1.40.8-1.3
Games (G-P)10.4-12.710.1-11.2
Aces10.5
Double faults10.24.3
1st serve %56.2%52.1%
Break %47.8%51.3%
Estimated total games (ours) 22.1

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Alina Nesmianovych

WWWLL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
02/08 Astrid Lew Yan Foon
W75 Koksijde
0-2 4-12 L
05/06 Allegra Korpanec Davies
W15 Banja Luka · ~Clay
0-2 3-11 L
04/06 Anastasija Adeikyte
W15 Banja Luka · ~Clay
2-1 12-14 W
01/06 Natalia Fehr
W15 Banja Luka · ~Clay
2-0 13-6 W
24/05 Alina Kornieieva
UTR Pro Ahaus Women · Clay
2-0 13-10 W
21/05 Daniela Ciobanu
UTR Pro Ahaus Women · Clay
0-2 10-13 L
20/05 Jinte de Boer
UTR Pro Ahaus Women · Clay
1-2 17-19 L
19/05 Danique Havermans
UTR Pro Ahaus Women · Clay
0-2 8-13 L
18/05 Magdalena Smekalova
UTR Pro Ahaus Women · Clay
2-1 16-16 W
04/05 Karla Bartel
W15 Reichstett · ~Clay
0-2 8-13 L

Lian Tran

LLLWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
25/08 Daria Yesypchuk
W50 Oldenzaal
0-2 7-12 L
24/08 Kaat Coppez
W50 Oldenzaal
2-0 13-5 W
18/08 Astrid Wanja Brune Olsen
W15 Wanfercee-Baulet
0-2 10-13 L
09/08 Rasheeda McAdoo
W50 Hamburg
0-2 12-14 L
02/08 Sofia Shapatava
W75 Koksijde
0-2 7-13 L
22/07 Madelief Hageman
W50 Horb
0-2 10-13 L
21/07 Katerina Mandelikova
W50 Horb
2-0 12-8 W
20/07 Louanne Djafari
W50 Horb
2-0 12-5 W
06/07 Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur
W75 The Hague
0-2 4-12 L
05/07 Anastasia Abbagnato
W75 The Hague
2-1 14-17 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Alina Nesmianovych vs Lian Tran?

Our model gives 72% to Lian Tran, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.