Tennis · M15 Hurghada · 02/09, 08:00
Prediction: Jake Fellows vs Karim Ibrahim
Team pages: Jake Fellows
Prediction summary
Winner
Jake Fellows
Karim Ibrahim
Estimated games
20
Recent form · 10 last
Jake Fellows
7-3 (W-L)
Karim Ibrahim
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Jake Fellows 1578 · Karim Ibrahim 1497
| Jake Fellows | Karim Ibrahim | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 61% | 39% |
| Market | 50% | 50% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Jake Fellows (rating 1578 vs 1497).
- Karim Ibrahim dominates on serve: 7.7 aces and 40.7% break avg.
- Jake Fellows is in better form: 80% recent wins.
Statistics
| Jake Fellows | Karim Ibrahim | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | 100% (3) | 50% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.7-0.6 | 1.1-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.7-7.2 | 10.3-9.6 |
| Aces | 4.2 | 7.7 |
| Double faults | 2.4 | 2.3 |
| 1st serve % | 73.8% | 75.4% |
| Break % | 63.4% | 40.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Jake Fellows
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/09 | Aryan Lakshmanan M15 Hurghada · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 26/08 | Ivan Gretskiy M15 Hurghada · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 25/08 | Gawad El Feky M15 Hurghada · ~Clay |
2-1 | 9-9 | W |
| 12/08 | Matteo Sciahbasi M15 Targu Jiu |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 11/08 | Vito Dell'Elba M15 Targu Jiu |
2-1 | 8-9 | W |
| 28/06 | Robin Eldin M25 Ajaccio · ~Hard |
1-2 | 11-13 | L |
| 13/06 | Kaipo Marshall Davis Cup |
2-0 | 12-0 | W |
| 12/06 | Rafael Botran Neutze Davis Cup |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 10/06 | Daniel Azar Davis Cup |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 09/06 | Paulo Pocasangre Davis Cup |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
Karim Ibrahim
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/08 | Andrea Bacaloni M15 Hurghada · ~Clay |
0-1 | 7-12 | L |
| 22/05 | Markus Molder M15 Hurghada · ~Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 21/05 | Shanker Heisnam M15 Hurghada · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 20/05 | Karim El Feky M15 Hurghada · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 13/05 | Fares Zakaria M25 Hurghada · ~Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 08/05 | Filippo Francesco Garbero M15 Hurghada · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-10 | L |
| 07/05 | Arjun Rathi M15 Hurghada · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 06/05 | Viktor Frydrych M15 Hurghada · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 01/05 | Michael Gloeckler M15 Hurghada · ~Clay |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
| 30/04 | Vesa Ahti M15 Hurghada · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Jake Fellows vs Karim Ibrahim?
Our model gives 55% to Jake Fellows, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.