Tennis · M15 Hurghada · 02/09, 08:00

Prediction: Giulio Perego vs Aradhya Kshitij

Team pages: Giulio Perego · Aradhya Kshitij

Prediction summary
Winner
60% 40%
Giulio Perego Aradhya Kshitij
Estimated games
21.6
Recent form · 10 last
Giulio Perego 5-5 (W-L)
WWWLLWLLWL
Aradhya Kshitij 7-3 (W-L)
WWLWLLWWWW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Giulio Perego 1479 · Aradhya Kshitij 1582
Giulio PeregoAradhya Kshitij
Our model36%64%
Market79%21%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Aradhya Kshitij (rating 1479 vs 1582).
  • Aradhya Kshitij is in better form: 80% recent wins.

Statistics

Giulio PeregoAradhya Kshitij
Win %50%80%
Win % · Clay 100% (5)
Sets (G-P)1.1-1.31.6-0.6
Games (G-P)11.3-1211.2-8.2
Aces14.5
Double faults2.52.3
1st serve %62.4%69.5%
Break %57%36.3%
Estimated total games (ours) 21.6

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Giulio Perego

LLLWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
24/08 Fabrizio Andaloro
Challenger Roehampton · Hard
0-2 9-13 L
23/08 Arvid Nordquist
Challenger Roehampton · Hard
2-1 17-16 W
16/08 Filip Peliwo
Challenger Roehampton · Hard
0-2 6-12 L
05/08 George Loffhagen
M25 Roehampton · ~Hard
0-2 4-12 L
30/07 Tiago Cacao
M25 Aldershot
1-2 13-16 L
29/07 James Beaven
M25 Aldershot
2-1 18-13 W
18/07 Orel Kimhi
M25 Hillcrest · ~Hard
0-2 5-12 L
17/07 Andreas Timini
M25 Hillcrest · ~Hard
2-1 17-15 W
16/07 Hugo Pierre
M25 Hillcrest · ~Hard
2-0 12-8 W
15/07 James Beaven
M25 Hillcrest · ~Hard
2-0 12-3 W

Aradhya Kshitij

WWWWW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
01/09 Alberto Morolli
M15 Hurghada · ~Clay
2-0 12-4 W
26/07 Yash Chaurasia
UTR Pro Match Series · Clay
2-0 13-7 W
25/07 Debasis Sahoo
UTR Pro Match Series · Clay
2-0 12-1 W
23/07 Aleksandre Shvangiradze
UTR Pro Match Series · Hard
2-0 13-7 W
22/07 Ronin Lotlikar
UTR Pro Match Series · Clay
2-1 15-10 W
21/07 Dev Javia
UTR Pro Match Series · Hard
0-2 4-12 L
20/07 Kaushik Arunkumar
UTR Pro Match Series · Clay
2-1 14-11 W
19/05 Alastair Gray
Challenger Bengaluru · Hard
0-2 3-12 L
18/05 Nitin Kumar Sinha
Challenger Bengaluru · Hard
2-0 13-10 W
17/05 Moerani Bouzige
Challenger Bengaluru · Hard
2-0 13-8 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Giulio Perego vs Aradhya Kshitij?

Our model gives 60% to Giulio Perego, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.