Tennis · W15 Badalona · 02/09, 09:30
Prediction: Ashley Lahey vs Lucia Natal
Team pages: Ashley Lahey · Lucia Natal
Prediction summary
Winner
Ashley Lahey
Lucia Natal
Estimated games
21.6
Recent form · 10 last
Ashley Lahey
4-6 (W-L)
Lucia Natal
3-7 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Ashley Lahey 1522 · Lucia Natal 1517
| Ashley Lahey | Lucia Natal | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 51% | 49% |
| Market | 87% | 13% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Lucia Natal makes many double faults (5.2/match).
Statistics
| Ashley Lahey | Lucia Natal | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | 0% (2) | 57% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.2 | 1.2-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.9-9.3 | 10.5-10.5 |
| Aces | 2.4 | 0.3 |
| Double faults | 2.3 | 5.2 |
| 1st serve % | 68.9% | 57.7% |
| Break % | 47.6% | 54.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.6
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Ashley Lahey
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/08 | Ilinca D Amariei W15 Brasov |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
| 29/08 | Cristiana Nicoleta Todoni W15 Brasov |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 27/08 | Stefania Bojica W15 Brasov |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 26/08 | Simona Cucu W15 Brasov |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 14/07 | Dasha Ivanova W35 Dallas |
0-2 | 2-8 | L |
| 16/06 | Sophie Luescher W35 Klosters · ~Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 09/06 | Mariia Makarova W15 Madrid |
1-2 | 14-13 | L |
| 04/06 | Maileen Nuudi W15 Ontinyent · ~Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 07/10 | Diletta Cherubini ITF W100 Edmond |
0-2 | 7-11 | L |
| 06/10 | Christasha McNeil ITF W100 Edmond |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Lucia Natal
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/07 | Carmen Gallardo Guevara W15 Gran Canaria |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 22/07 | Anais Gabriel W15 Gran Canaria |
2-0 | 14-10 | W |
| 21/07 | Carlota Vila Salles W15 Gran Canaria |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 17/07 | Nina Radovanovic W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 16/07 | Charlotte Pikkaart W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 14/07 | Ariana Geerlings W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 10/07 | Elza Tomase W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 01/07 | Cayetana Gay W15 Getxo · ~Clay |
0-2 | 10-14 | L |
| 29/06 | Georgina Hays W15 Getxo · ~Clay |
2-1 | 13-13 | W |
| 13/05 | Cristiana Nicoleta Todoni W15 Bucharest · ~Clay |
2-1 | 10-10 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Ashley Lahey vs Lucia Natal?
Our model gives 70% to Ashley Lahey, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.