Tennis · W15 Monastir · 01/09, 11:00
Prediction: Aurora Nosei vs Sofia Alekseeva
Team pages: Aurora Nosei · Sofia Alekseeva
Prediction summary
Winner
Aurora Nosei
Sofia Alekseeva
Estimated games
19
Recent form · 10 last
Aurora Nosei
5-5 (W-L)
Sofia Alekseeva
2-8 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Aurora Nosei 1493 · Sofia Alekseeva 1447
| Aurora Nosei | Sofia Alekseeva | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 57% | 43% |
| Market | 63% | 38% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Aurora Nosei (rating 1493 vs 1447).
- Note: Sofia Alekseeva makes many double faults (4.1/match).
Statistics
| Aurora Nosei | Sofia Alekseeva | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 30% |
| Win % · Hard | 67% (3) | 20% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1 | 0.6-1.5 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.8-8.3 | 7.5-10.6 |
| Aces | 0.2 | 0.7 |
| Double faults | 2.9 | 4.1 |
| 1st serve % | 59.6% | 52.3% |
| Break % | 55.7% | 50.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
19
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Aurora Nosei
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/08 | Sofia Camila Rojas W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 27/08 | Eloise Newberry W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 26/08 | Sana Garakani W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 21/07 | Darina Matvejeva W15 Cluj Napoca |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 09/06 | Sofia Rocchetti W35 San Gregorio · ~Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 05/06 | Cristiana Nicoleta Todoni W15 Focsani · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-13 | L |
| 04/06 | Andreea Diana Soare W15 Focsani · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 21/05 | Eleonora Alvisi W15 Grado · ~Clay |
1-2 | 15-16 | L |
| 20/05 | Barbara Dessolis W15 Grado · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 19/05 | Zoe Kaegi W15 Grado · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
Sofia Alekseeva
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/08 | Elyse Tse W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 18/08 | Noelia Manta W35 Verbier |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 17/08 | Elena Grekul W35 Verbier |
2-1 | 10-10 | W |
| 16/08 | Tamara Bachmann W35 Verbier |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 12/05 | Lena Ramharter W15 Klagenfurt · ~Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 20/04 | Aneta Kucmova W75 Chiasso · ~Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 18/03 | Stephanie Judith Visscher W15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 17/03 | Nahjime Dho W15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 26/11 | Adrienn Nagy ITF W15 Lousada · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 18/11 | Julia Victoria Rennert ITF W15 Lousada · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Aurora Nosei vs Sofia Alekseeva?
Our model gives 60% to Aurora Nosei, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.