Tennis · W15 Monastir · 11/09, 10:30

Prediction: Riko Kikawada vs Yasmine Mansouri

Team pages: Riko Kikawada · Yasmine Mansouri

Prediction summary
Winner
43% 57%
Riko Kikawada Yasmine Mansouri
Estimated games
20.6
Recent form · 10 last
Riko Kikawada 7-3 (W-L)
LWWWLWWWLW
Yasmine Mansouri 4-6 (W-L)
WLWLLLLLWW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Riko Kikawada 1559 · Yasmine Mansouri 1500
Riko KikawadaYasmine Mansouri
Our model58%42%
Market31%69%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Riko Kikawada (rating 1559 vs 1500).
  • Riko Kikawada is in better form: 70% recent wins.
  • Note: Riko Kikawada makes many double faults (5.1/match).
  • Note: Yasmine Mansouri makes many double faults (6.1/match).

Statistics

Riko KikawadaYasmine Mansouri
Win %70%40%
Win % · Hard 70% (10) 75% (4)
Sets (G-P)1.5-0.80.9-1.3
Games (G-P)11.9-9.28.7-11.3
Aces0.71.4
Double faults5.16.1
1st serve %58.8%59.3%
Break %53.2%42.3%
Estimated total games (ours) 20.6

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Riko Kikawada

WWLWW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
10/09 Karla Popovic
W15 Monastir · ~Hard
2-0 13-9 W
09/09 Julie Myatovic
W15 Monastir · ~Hard
2-1 17-15 W
04/09 Clarissa Blomqvist
W15 Monastir · ~Hard
1-2 15-17 L
03/09 Yiru Chen
W15 Monastir · ~Hard
2-0 10-2 W
02/09 Haruna Arakawa
W15 Monastir · ~Hard
2-0 12-4 W
30/08 Sofia Camila Rojas
W15 Monastir · ~Hard
0-2 4-12 L
29/08 Clarissa Blomqvist
W15 Monastir · ~Hard
2-1 17-15 W
28/08 Elyse Tse
W15 Monastir · ~Hard
2-0 12-2 W
26/08 Daniela Darta Feldmane
W15 Monastir · ~Hard
2-0 12-3 W
16/07 Maria Kalyakina
W15 Luan · ~Hard
0-2 7-13 L

Yasmine Mansouri

LLLWW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
10/09 Aurora Urso
W15 Monastir · ~Hard
2-0 12-4 W
09/09 Mariia Masiianskaia
W15 Monastir · ~Hard
2-0 12-5 W
17/08 Marcelina Podlinska
W35 Krakow
0-2 7-12 L
12/08 Sofia Shapatava
W35 Bydgoszcz
0-2 6-12 L
04/08 Martha Matoula
W75 Koksijde
0-2 4-12 L
28/07 Jenny Lim
W50 Knokke-Heist
0-2 4-12 L
12/07 Aoi Ito
WTA Athens · Hard
0-2 4-12 L
11/07 Eleni Tsetsou
WTA Athens · Hard
2-0 14-11 W
08/07 Scarlet Kavanagh
W35 Don Benito
2-1 15-15 W
17/06 Ru Xi Wu
W35 Tauste · ~Clay
1-2 9-18 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Riko Kikawada vs Yasmine Mansouri?

Our model gives 57% to Yasmine Mansouri, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.