Tennis · W15 Monastir · 02/09, 09:30
Prediction: Clarissa Blomqvist vs Natsuho Arakawa
Team pages: Clarissa Blomqvist · Natsuho Arakawa
Prediction summary
Winner
Clarissa Blomqvist
Natsuho Arakawa
Estimated games
20.9
Recent form · 10 last
Clarissa Blomqvist
3-7 (W-L)
Natsuho Arakawa
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Clarissa Blomqvist 1509 · Natsuho Arakawa 1521
| Clarissa Blomqvist | Natsuho Arakawa | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 48% | 52% |
| Market | 38% | 63% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Clarissa Blomqvist makes many double faults (7.7/match).
- Note: Natsuho Arakawa makes many double faults (4.5/match).
Statistics
| Clarissa Blomqvist | Natsuho Arakawa | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 75% (4) | 0% (1) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.3 | 1.4-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.8-10.5 | 11.6-10.4 |
| Aces | 1 | 3.1 |
| Double faults | 7.7 | 4.5 |
| 1st serve % | 59.5% | 66.4% |
| Break % | 59.1% | 39.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.9
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Clarissa Blomqvist
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/08 | Riko Kikawada W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 28/08 | Haruna Arakawa W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-1 | 14-11 | W |
| 27/08 | Emma Mazzoni W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 11-1 | W |
| 26/08 | Silvia Caliman W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 05/08 | Alice Soulie W15 Hameenlinna |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 29/07 | Emma Ottavia Ghirardato W15 Savitaipale |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 18/06 | Diae El Jardi W35 Mohammedia · ~Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 17/06 | Nour El Ouazzani W35 Mohammedia · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 09/06 | Ksenia Krupenina W35 Casablanca · ~Clay |
1-2 | 10-10 | L |
| 04/06 | Marta Soriano Santiago W15 Casablanca · ~Clay |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
Natsuho Arakawa
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/08 | Eloise Newberry W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
| 31/07 | Amy Stevens W15 Brisbane |
1-2 | 16-14 | L |
| 30/07 | Ya-Yi Yang W15 Brisbane |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 29/07 | Julie Adele Bedard W15 Brisbane |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 26/07 | Destanee Aiava W15 Brisbane |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 25/07 | Chia Yi Tsao W15 Brisbane |
2-1 | 14-12 | W |
| 24/07 | Maiko Uchijima W15 Brisbane |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 23/07 | Belle Thompson W15 Brisbane |
2-1 | 16-15 | W |
| 22/07 | Lily Fairclough W15 Brisbane |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 14/07 | Stefani Webb W15 Brisbane |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Clarissa Blomqvist vs Natsuho Arakawa?
Our model gives 58% to Natsuho Arakawa, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.