Tennis · W15 Monastir · 02/09, 09:30

Prediction: Haruna Arakawa vs Riko Kikawada

Team pages: Haruna Arakawa · Riko Kikawada

Prediction summary
Winner
70% 30%
Haruna Arakawa Riko Kikawada
Estimated games
20.7
Recent form · 10 last
Haruna Arakawa 7-3 (W-L)
WLWWWWLLWW
Riko Kikawada 6-4 (W-L)
LWLWWLWWWL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Haruna Arakawa 1535 · Riko Kikawada 1512
Haruna ArakawaRiko Kikawada
Our model53%47%
Market84%16%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Statistics

Haruna ArakawaRiko Kikawada
Win %60%50%
Win % · Hard 67% (3) 57% (7)
Sets (G-P)1.4-0.91.1-1.2
Games (G-P)11.2-8.910.4-10.9
Aces00.3
Double faults1.83.6
1st serve %64.2%57.3%
Break %48.3%47.3%
Estimated total games (ours) 20.7

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Haruna Arakawa

WLWWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
28/08 Clarissa Blomqvist
W15 Monastir · ~Hard
1-2 11-14 L
27/08 Luisa Schruff
W15 Monastir · ~Hard
2-0 12-5 W
26/08 Ophelia Korpanec Davies
W15 Monastir · ~Hard
2-1 15-13 W
16/08 Asylzhan Arystanbekova
W15 Astana
0-2 4-12 L
15/08 Ha Eum Lee
W15 Astana
2-0 12-5 W
14/08 Zeel Desai
W15 Astana
2-0 12-6 W
13/08 Nina Sozaonova
W15 Astana
2-0 13-5 W
12/08 Sreemanya Reddy Anugonda
W15 Astana
2-0 12-1 W
06/08 Anna Bazderova
W15 Astana
0-2 6-12 L
29/07 Liel Marlies Rothensteiner
W15 Astana
1-2 15-16 L

Riko Kikawada

LWWWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
30/08 Sofia Camila Rojas
W15 Monastir · ~Hard
0-2 4-12 L
29/08 Clarissa Blomqvist
W15 Monastir · ~Hard
2-1 17-15 W
28/08 Elyse Tse
W15 Monastir · ~Hard
2-0 12-2 W
26/08 Daniela Darta Feldmane
W15 Monastir · ~Hard
2-0 12-3 W
16/07 Maria Kalyakina
W15 Luan · ~Hard
0-2 7-13 L
14/07 Shihomi Li Xuan Leong
W15 Luan · ~Hard
2-1 15-13 W
24/06 Yuka Hosoki
W15 Sapporo
1-2 12-17 L
17/06 Ying Zhang
W15 Sapporo
0-2 5-12 L
16/06 Hinata Furutani
W15 Sapporo
2-0 13-10 W
27/05 Eunchae Kim
W15 Fukui · ~Hard
0-2 7-12 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Haruna Arakawa vs Riko Kikawada?

Our model gives 70% to Haruna Arakawa, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.