Tennis · M15 Nonthaburi · 02/09, 05:00
Prediction: Chikaya Sato vs Daisuke Sumizawa
Team pages: Chikaya Sato · Daisuke Sumizawa
Prediction summary
Winner
Chikaya Sato
Daisuke Sumizawa
Estimated games
20
Recent form · 10 last
Chikaya Sato
2-8 (W-L)
Daisuke Sumizawa
0-10 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Chikaya Sato 1428 · Daisuke Sumizawa 1383
| Chikaya Sato | Daisuke Sumizawa | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 56% | 44% |
| Market | 27% | 73% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Chikaya Sato (rating 1428 vs 1383).
- Note: Chikaya Sato makes many double faults (5.7/match).
Statistics
| Chikaya Sato | Daisuke Sumizawa | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 20% | 0% |
| Win % · Hard | 20% (10) | 0% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.4-1.6 | 0.2-2 |
| Games (G-P) | 7.4-11.6 | 7.8-12.4 |
| Aces | 2.4 | 4 |
| Double faults | 5.7 | 2.5 |
| 1st serve % | 59.3% | 68.3% |
| Break % | 47% | 26.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Chikaya Sato
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/08 | Congsup Congcar M15 Nonthaburi · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 30/08 | Teerapat Khantiweerawat M15 Nonthaburi · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 25/05 | Naoki Tajima M15 Gimcheon · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 12/05 | Yeonsu Jeong M15 Andong · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 17/11 | Seonyong Han M15 Gimcheon · ~Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 18/10 | Seiya Nakanishi UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 14/10 | Raffael Gasanov UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 14/10 | Kotaro Mochizuki UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 13/10 | Hugo Hashimoto UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 29/09 | Ryota Tanuma UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
Daisuke Sumizawa
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/08 | Donghyun Hwang M15 Tianjin |
1-2 | 11-12 | L |
| 28/07 | Ryotaro Taguchi M15 Bali |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 22/07 | Jake Delaney M15 Brisbane |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 07/07 | Riku Takahata M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 30/06 | Riku Takahata M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 15/06 | Yuto Oki M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
1-2 | 10-12 | L |
| 08/06 | Riku Takahata M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 26/05 | Seongwoo Cho M15 Gimcheon · ~Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 17/05 | Christopher Papa Challenger Bengaluru · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 31/03 | Leo Vithoontien M15 Kashiwa · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Chikaya Sato vs Daisuke Sumizawa?
Our model gives 60% to Daisuke Sumizawa, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.