Tennis · M15 Nonthaburi · 02/09, 05:00

Prediction: Shu Muto vs Hugo Hashimoto

Team pages: Shu Muto · Hugo Hashimoto

Prediction summary
Winner
37% 63%
Shu Muto Hugo Hashimoto
Estimated games
21.2
Recent form · 10 last
Shu Muto 4-6 (W-L)
LWWLLWLLLW
Hugo Hashimoto 5-5 (W-L)
LWLLWLWWLW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Shu Muto 1467 · Hugo Hashimoto 1485
Shu MutoHugo Hashimoto
Our model47%53%
Market29%71%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Statistics

Shu MutoHugo Hashimoto
Win %40%40%
Win % · Hard 40% (10) 38% (8)
Sets (G-P)1-1.51.1-1.4
Games (G-P)10.1-11.99.9-10.3
Aces12
Double faults32
1st serve %62.6%65.9%
Break %47.4%48.9%
Estimated total games (ours) 21.2

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Shu Muto

LWWLL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
18/08 Reiya Komagata
M15 Maanshan · ~Hard
1-2 9-13 L
17/07 Hoyoung Roh
M15 Wuning · ~Hard
0-2 4-12 L
16/07 Zhao Zhao
M15 Wuning · ~Hard
2-1 11-12 W
15/07 Qian Sun
M15 Wuning · ~Hard
2-1 16-11 W
07/07 Makoto Ochi
M15 Tokyo · ~Hard
1-2 11-12 L
30/06 Kazuki Nishiwaki
M15 Tokyo · ~Hard
0-2 7-13 L
29/05 Tianhui Zhang
M15 Luan · ~Hard
0-2 4-12 L
28/05 Sam Ryan Ziegann
M15 Luan · ~Hard
2-0 12-5 W
27/05 Yuquan Jin
M15 Luan · ~Hard
2-1 19-16 W
26/05 Zhenxiong Dong
M15 Luan · ~Hard
0-2 8-13 L

Hugo Hashimoto

LWLLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
31/08 Moksh Puri
M15 Nonthaburi · ~Hard
2-0 12-2 W
17/08 Kristjan Tamm
M25 Taipei · ~Hard
0-2 9-13 L
18/07 Douglas Yaffa
UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard
1-2 11-14 L
18/07 David Duong
UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard
2-1 15-13 W
08/07 Noah Johnston
M15 Rancho Santa Fe
1-2 14-13 L
07/07 Kyle Overmyer
M15 Rancho Santa Fe
2-0 9-4 W
01/07 Joaquim Almeida
M15 San Diego · ~Hard
0-2 4-12 L
30/06 Henry Ren
M15 San Diego · ~Hard
2-1 8-8 W
23/06 Liam Krall
M15 Claremont · ~Hard
1-2 10-12 L
03/06 Elijah Cham
UTR Pro Kakogawa · Hard
0-2 7-12 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Shu Muto vs Hugo Hashimoto?

Our model gives 63% to Hugo Hashimoto, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.