Tennis · M15 Hurghada · 02/09, 09:00
Prediction: Thijs Boogaard vs Karim Mabrouk
Team pages: Thijs Boogaard · Karim Mabrouk
Prediction summary
Winner
Thijs Boogaard
Karim Mabrouk
Estimated games
22.6
Recent form · 10 last
Thijs Boogaard
7-3 (W-L)
Karim Mabrouk
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Thijs Boogaard 1543 · Karim Mabrouk 1500
| Thijs Boogaard | Karim Mabrouk | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 56% | 44% |
| Market | 91% | 9% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Thijs Boogaard (rating 1543 vs 1500).
- Note: Thijs Boogaard makes many double faults (4/match).
Statistics
| Thijs Boogaard | Karim Mabrouk | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | 50% (4) | 0% (2) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.6-1.1 | 1.1-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.3-13.1 | 8.8-11 |
| Aces | 4.5 | 2.9 |
| Double faults | 4 | 3.5 |
| 1st serve % | 66.9% | 66.4% |
| Break % | 33.8% | 34.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.6
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Thijs Boogaard
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/07 | Jan Kumstat Challenger Bunschoten · Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 14/07 | Gauthier Onclin Challenger Bunschoten · Clay |
2-1 | 16-16 | W |
| 21/06 | Tiago Torres M25 Lourinha · ~Hard |
2-1 | 16-16 | W |
| 20/06 | Fabrizio Andaloro M25 Lourinha · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 18/06 | Patrick Schoen M25 Lourinha · ~Hard |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 17/06 | Goncalo Marques M25 Lourinha · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 12/06 | Daniil Medvedev ATP Hertogenbosch · Grass |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 10/06 | Yibing Wu ATP Hertogenbosch · Grass |
2-1 | 14-13 | W |
| 15/05 | Aaron Funk M25 Hurghada · ~Clay |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
| 14/05 | Ali Habib M25 Hurghada · ~Clay |
2-1 | 17-12 | W |
Karim Mabrouk
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/08 | Dev Javia M15 Hurghada · ~Clay |
1-2 | 10-15 | L |
| 16/07 | Toufik Sahtali M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 15/07 | Louay Makke M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 14/07 | Rahul Dhokia M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-1 | 10-11 | W |
| 08/07 | Tuncay Duran M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 07/07 | Enrico Rosellini M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 02/07 | Digvijay Pratap Singh M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-13 | L |
| 01/07 | Sean Daryabeigi M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 30/06 | Arin Pallegar M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 21/05 | Markus Molder M15 Hurghada · ~Clay |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Thijs Boogaard vs Karim Mabrouk?
Our model gives 75% to Thijs Boogaard, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.