Prediction: Alexander Chang vs Leo Borg
Team pages: Alexander Chang · Leo Borg
Prediction summary
Winner
Alexander Chang
Leo Borg
Estimated games
22.3
Recent form · 10 last
Alexander Chang
7-3 (W-L)
Leo Borg
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Alexander Chang 1608 · Leo Borg 1522
| Alexander Chang | Leo Borg | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 62% | 38% |
| Market | 41% | 59% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Alexander Chang (rating 1608 vs 1522).
- Alexander Chang dominates on serve: 6.3 aces and 43.3% break avg.
- Alexander Chang is in better form: 80% recent wins.
Statistics
| Alexander Chang | Leo Borg | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 100% (6) | 50% (2) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.8-0.7 | 1.3-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.8-9.3 | 11.9-11.4 |
| Aces | 6.3 | 2.8 |
| Double faults | 1.3 | 2.5 |
| 1st serve % | 76.3% | 70.2% |
| Break % | 43.3% | 48.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.3
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Alexander Chang
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/08 | Mathieu Perchicot ITF M25 Bali · Hard |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 22/08 | Anthony Susanto ITF M25 Bali · Hard |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 21/08 | Vadym Konovchuk ITF M25 Bali · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 19/08 | Arjun Mehrotra ITF M25 Bali · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 18/08 | Igor Kolaric ITF M25 Bali · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 17/08 | Abhishek Bastola ITF M25 Bali · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 30/07 | Yusuke Takahashi M15 Bali |
1-2 | 15-16 | L |
| 29/07 | Shanker Heisnam M15 Bali |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 25/07 | Thanaphat Boosarawongse M15 Bali |
1-2 | 15-16 | L |
| 24/07 | Sanhui Shin M15 Bali |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Leo Borg
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/08 | Niklas Guttau M15 Bastad · ~Clay |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 22/08 | John Hallquist Lithen M15 Bastad · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 21/08 | Stefan Seifert M15 Bastad · ~Clay |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 20/08 | Karl Friberg M15 Bastad · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 19/08 | Lucas Renard M15 Bastad · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 12/08 | Kevin Edengren M15 Malmo |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 28/07 | Vlado Jankanj M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 22/07 | Kristijan Juhas M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 01/05 | Muhammad Shoaib M15 Islamabad · ~Hard |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 29/04 | Aqeel Khan M15 Islamabad · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Alexander Chang vs Leo Borg?
Our model gives 51% to Alexander Chang, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.