Prediction: Blake Ellis vs Reece Falck
Team pages: Blake Ellis · Reece Falck
Prediction summary
Winner
Blake Ellis
Reece Falck
Estimated games
22.1
Recent form · 10 last
Blake Ellis
5-5 (W-L)
Reece Falck
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Blake Ellis 1475 · Reece Falck 1442
| Blake Ellis | Reece Falck | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 55% | 45% |
| Market | 79% | 21% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Blake Ellis | Reece Falck | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 30% |
| Win % · Hard | 40% (5) | 17% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1-1.5 | 0.8-1.5 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.5-13.8 | 8.2-11 |
| Aces | 7.4 | 2.7 |
| Double faults | 3.4 | 2.3 |
| 1st serve % | 70.7% | 63.5% |
| Break % | 28.3% | 36.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.1
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Blake Ellis
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/07 | Duje Markovina M15 Brisbane |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 21/07 | Joshua Charlton M15 Brisbane |
2-1 | 18-15 | W |
| 16/07 | Benjamin O'Connell M25 Brisbane |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 14/07 | Hayden Jones M25 Brisbane |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 05/07 | Garrett Johns Challenger Newport · Grass |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 02/07 | Ozan Baris Challenger Cary · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 01/07 | Philip Sekulic Challenger Cary · Hard |
2-1 | 20-17 | W |
| 16/06 | Enzo Aguiard M25 Tulsa · ~Hard |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 11/06 | Sebastian Gorzny M25 Wichita · ~Hard |
1-2 | 15-15 | L |
| 10/06 | Alex Kobelt M25 Wichita · ~Hard |
2-1 | 20-19 | W |
Reece Falck
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/07 | Benjamin Willwerth M15 Rochester |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 10/07 | Emon Van Loben Sels M15 Rancho Santa Fe |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 09/07 | Alejandro Hayen M15 Rancho Santa Fe |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 08/07 | Alexander Guajardo M15 Rancho Santa Fe |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 16/06 | Vit Kalina M15 Irvine · ~Hard |
1-2 | 11-13 | L |
| 09/06 | Nathan Trouve M15 Los Angeles · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 03/06 | Neo Niedner M15 Lakewood · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 02/06 | Diogo Morais M15 Lakewood · ~Hard |
2-1 | 9-9 | W |
| 26/05 | Juan Carlos Fuentes Vasquez M15 Lakewood · ~Hard |
1-2 | 10-11 | L |
| 23/05 | Blu Baker UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Blake Ellis vs Reece Falck?
Our model gives 68% to Blake Ellis, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.