Tennis · UTR Pro Newport Beach · 30/08, 19:30
Prediction: Ivan Savkin vs Marco Alvarez
Team pages: Ivan Savkin · Marco Alvarez
Prediction summary
Winner
Ivan Savkin
Marco Alvarez
Estimated games
21.5
Recent form · 10 last
Ivan Savkin
5-5 (W-L)
Marco Alvarez
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Ivan Savkin 1542 · Marco Alvarez 1531
| Ivan Savkin | Marco Alvarez | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 52% | 48% |
| Market | 56% | 44% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Ivan Savkin makes many double faults (4.4/match).
Statistics
| Ivan Savkin | Marco Alvarez | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 60% (10) | 60% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1 | 1.4-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.1-10.8 | 11.2-10.4 |
| Aces | 3 | 0.9 |
| Double faults | 4.4 | 1.7 |
| 1st serve % | 69.3% | 63.9% |
| Break % | 57.9% | 42.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.5
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Ivan Savkin
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/08 | Dev Mangat UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 27/08 | Pavel Bushuev UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 26/08 | Andrew Gordon UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 26/08 | Constantinos Djakouris UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 24/08 | Matei Gavrea UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-1 | 15-15 | W |
| 16/07 | Emmett Potter UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-1 | 18-12 | W |
| 15/07 | Benjamin Berger UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 14/07 | David Duong UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 04/07 | Tomas Quesada Perez UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
1-2 | 10-16 | L |
| 03/07 | Marshall Landry UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
Marco Alvarez
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/08 | Antreas Djakouris UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 28/08 | Sohrob Amiryavari UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 28/08 | Charlie Underwood UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
0-2 | 5-13 | L |
| 27/08 | Luca Ostovany UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 25/08 | Cayden Wang UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 08/08 | Miles Clark UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 08/08 | Blake Anderson UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-1 | 18-13 | W |
| 07/08 | David Duong UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 06/08 | Dominique Rolland UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
1-2 | 10-15 | L |
| 05/08 | Eugenio Gonzalez Fitzmaurice UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Ivan Savkin vs Marco Alvarez?
Our model gives 54% to Ivan Savkin, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.