Tennis · UTR Pro Waco Women · 02/09, 20:30
Prediction: Ligaya Murray vs Alina Shcherbinina
Team pages: Ligaya Murray · Alina Shcherbinina
Prediction summary
Winner
Ligaya Murray
Alina Shcherbinina
Estimated games
19.9
Recent form · 10 last
Ligaya Murray
5-5 (W-L)
Alina Shcherbinina
8-2 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Ligaya Murray
0–1
Alina Shcherbinina
(1 last)
- 02 Jan1-2 15-18L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Ligaya Murray 1477 · Alina Shcherbinina 1649
| Ligaya Murray | Alina Shcherbinina | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 27% | 73% |
| Market | 8% | 92% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Alina Shcherbinina (rating 1477 vs 1649).
- Alina Shcherbinina is in better form: 80% recent wins.
- Head-to-head: Ligaya Murray 0–1 Alina Shcherbinina (1).
- Note: Alina Shcherbinina makes many double faults (4.9/match).
Statistics
| Ligaya Murray | Alina Shcherbinina | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 80% |
| Win % · Hard | 43% (7) | 100% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1 | 1.7-0.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.6-9.3 | 11.5-7.1 |
| Aces | 0.4 | 1.2 |
| Double faults | 2.8 | 4.9 |
| 1st serve % | 59.1% | 64.4% |
| Break % | 50.4% | 58.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
19.9
H2H · Ligaya Murray 0 – 1 Alina Shcherbinina (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Ligaya Murray 0–1 Alina Shcherbinina
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 02/01/26 UTR Pro Waco Women | 1-2 | 15-18 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Ligaya Murray
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/09 | Maria Ustic UTR Pro Waco Women · Hard |
1-2 | 18-16 | L |
| 01/09 | Kayla Schefke UTR Pro Waco Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 27/06 | Gabrielle Villegas UTR Pro Waco Women · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 26/06 | Ella Brownback UTR Pro Waco Women · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 25/06 | Ishika Ashar UTR Pro Waco Women · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 24/06 | Hanmare Mcaslin UTR Pro Waco Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 23/06 | Marina Fuduric UTR Pro Waco Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 13/05 | Anna Rogers W35 Bethany Beach · ~Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 10/05 | Athina Schlepphorst UTR Pro Concord Women · Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 09/05 | Stephanie N'tcha UTR Pro Concord Women · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Alina Shcherbinina
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/09 | Kayla Schefke UTR Pro Waco Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 30/08 | Lexie Weir UTR Pro Boise Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 29/08 | Carla Grignac UTR Pro Boise Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 28/08 | Valentina Vachkova UTR Pro Boise Women · Hard |
2-1 | 16-7 | W |
| 27/08 | Louise Booker UTR Pro Boise Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 25/08 | Lauren Nolan UTR Pro Boise Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 24/08 | Stella Beldiman UTR Pro Boise Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 06/08 | Carson Tanguilig W35 Southaven |
1-2 | 12-18 | L |
| 04/08 | Jensen Diianni W35 Southaven |
2-1 | 11-9 | W |
| 29/07 | Hanna Chang W75 Lexington |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Ligaya Murray vs Alina Shcherbinina?
Our model gives 84% to Alina Shcherbinina, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.