Tennis · W50 Kursumlijska Banja · 28/08, 11:30

Prediction: Selena Janicijevic vs Rositsa Dencheva

Team pages: Selena Janicijevic · Rositsa Dencheva

Prediction summary

Winner

31% 69%

Selena Janicijevic Rositsa Dencheva

Estimated games

Recent form · 10 last

Selena Janicijevic 4-6 (W-L)

LWLWWLLLWL

Rositsa Dencheva 8-2 (W-L)

WWWWWLWLWW

Head-to-head

Selena Janicijevic 0–1 Rositsa Dencheva (1 last)

11 Mar0-2 12-14L

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Selena Janicijevic 1518 · Rositsa Dencheva 1590

	Selena Janicijevic	Rositsa Dencheva
Our model	40%	60%
Market	23%	77%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Rositsa Dencheva (rating 1518 vs 1590).
Head-to-head: Selena Janicijevic 0–1 Rositsa Dencheva (1).

Statistics

	Selena Janicijevic	Rositsa Dencheva
Win %	60%	80%
Win % · Clay	67% (6)	78% (9)
Sets (G-P)	1.2-1.2	1.6-0.4
Games (G-P)	11.3-11.2	11-5.9
Aces	1.2	0.2
Double faults	3.6	0.6
1st serve %	61.6%	61.4%
Break %	38%	57%

Estimated total games (ours) 21

H2H · Selena Janicijevic 0 – 1 Rositsa Dencheva (1)

Odds Bet365

14.00

21.22

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 03:33

	Bet365	Best now
1	4.00 → 4.00	Bet365 4.00
2	1.22 → 1.22	Bet365 1.22

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 6.8%

Time*	1	2
03:27 +6’	4.00	1.22

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Selena Janicijevic 0–1 Rositsa Dencheva

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Date	Sets	Games	Res.
11/03/26 W50 Heraklion	0-2	12-14	L

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Selena Janicijevic

LLLWW

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Date	Opponent	Sets	Games	Res.
27/08	Dunja Maric W50 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay	2-1	20-18	W
26/08	Lea Nilsson W50 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay	2-1	12-12	W
28/07	Anastasiya Konstantinovna Soboleva WTA Targu Mures · Clay	0-2	6-12	L
22/07	Charo Esquiva Banuls W50 Horb	0-2	6-12	L
17/07	Nastasja Schunk W50 Darmstadt	0-2	10-13	L
16/07	Arina Bulatova W50 Darmstadt	2-0	13-8	W
15/07	Denislava Glushkova W50 Darmstadt	2-0	12-7	W
24/06	Deborah Chiesa W35 Tarvisio · ~Clay	0-2	6-12	L
21/06	Martha Matoula W50 Haskovo · ~Clay	2-1	14-9	W
20/06	Lidia Encheva W50 Haskovo · ~Clay	2-1	14-9	W

Rositsa Dencheva

LWLWW

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Date	Opponent	Sets	Games	Res.
27/08	Luna Vujovic W50 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay	2-0	12-4	W
26/08	Beatrice Ricci W50 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay	2-0	12-6	W
20/08	Luna Vujovic W75 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay	0-2	8-12	L
18/08	Zongyu Li W75 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay	2-0	12-0	W
16/08	Mia Ristic W75 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay	0-2	6-13	L
15/08	Luna Vujovic W75 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay	2-0	13-10	W
14/08	Katarina Zavatska W75 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay	2-0	12-2	W
13/08	Denislava Glushkova W75 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay	2-0	10-3	W
12/08	Natalija Senic W75 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay	2-0	13-6	W
11/07	Julie Struplova W35 Buzau	2-0	12-3	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Selena Janicijevic vs Rositsa Dencheva?

Our model gives 69% to Rositsa Dencheva, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.