Tennis · W50 Kursumlijska Banja · 28/08, 12:30
Prediction: Giorgia Pedone vs Maria Golovina
Team pages: Giorgia Pedone · Maria Golovina
Prediction summary
Winner
Giorgia Pedone
Maria Golovina
Estimated games
21.2
Recent form · 10 last
Giorgia Pedone
9-1 (W-L)
Maria Golovina
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Giorgia Pedone 1580 · Maria Golovina 1525
| Giorgia Pedone | Maria Golovina | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 58% | 42% |
| Market | 77% | 23% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Giorgia Pedone (rating 1580 vs 1525).
- Giorgia Pedone is in better form: 90% recent wins.
- Note: Maria Golovina makes many double faults (4.6/match).
Statistics
| Giorgia Pedone | Maria Golovina | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 90% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | 80% (5) | 60% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.8-0.5 | 1.3-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.3-8.2 | 10.3-9.4 |
| Aces | 0.1 | 0.9 |
| Double faults | 0.5 | 4.6 |
| 1st serve % | 57.9% | 58% |
| Break % | 57.6% | 49.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.2
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Giorgia Pedone
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/08 | Lidia Encheva W50 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 26/08 | Zhibek Kulambayeva W50 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 21/08 | Lisa Zaar W75 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 20/08 | Katarina Zavatska W75 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 18/08 | Alina Granwehr W75 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 09/08 | Ana Sofia Sanchez W35 Chacabuco |
2-1 | 15-10 | W |
| 08/08 | Lucciana Perez Alarcon W35 Chacabuco |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 07/08 | Josefina Estevez W35 Chacabuco |
2-1 | 18-9 | W |
| 07/08 | Sofia Meabe W35 Chacabuco |
2-0 | 14-10 | W |
| 04/08 | Catarina M I Melleiro Junior W35 Chacabuco |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
Maria Golovina
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/08 | Miriam Bulgaru W50 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 10-5 | W |
| 26/08 | Sara Cakarevic W50 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 17/08 | Lea Nilsson W75 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 16/08 | Alina Yuneva W75 Kursumlijska Banja Qual · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 22/07 | Andrea Obradovic W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
1-2 | 12-17 | L |
| 17/07 | Justina Mikulskyte W75 Vitoria Gasteiz |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 16/07 | Melisa Ercan W75 Vitoria Gasteiz |
2-1 | 13-11 | W |
| 15/07 | Valentina Ryser W75 Vitoria Gasteiz |
2-1 | 14-9 | W |
| 10/07 | Rositsa Dencheva W35 Buzau |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 09/07 | Victoria Bosio W35 Buzau |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Giorgia Pedone vs Maria Golovina?
Our model gives 68% to Giorgia Pedone, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.