Tennis · W50 Kursumlijska Banja · 27/08, 10:00
Prediction: Ekaterina Perelygina vs Samira De Stefano
Team pages: Ekaterina Perelygina · Samira De Stefano
Prediction summary
Winner
Ekaterina Perelygina
Samira De Stefano
Estimated games
21.4
Recent form · 10 last
Ekaterina Perelygina
3-7 (W-L)
Samira De Stefano
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Ekaterina Perelygina 1517 · Samira De Stefano 1514
| Ekaterina Perelygina | Samira De Stefano | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 50% | 50% |
| Market | 22% | 78% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Ekaterina Perelygina makes many double faults (5.6/match).
Statistics
| Ekaterina Perelygina | Samira De Stefano | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | 56% (9) | 60% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1-1.2 | 1.3-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 8.8-9.3 | 11.4-11.2 |
| Aces | 0.4 | 0.1 |
| Double faults | 5.6 | 3.2 |
| 1st serve % | 54.7% | 59.1% |
| Break % | 48.5% | 43.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.4
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Ekaterina Perelygina
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/08 | Lejla Hana Golubovic W50 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 24/08 | Sara Mikaca W50 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 23/08 | Alexa Karatancheva W50 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-1 | 14-8 | W |
| 17/08 | Rada Zolotareva W75 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 16/08 | Yujia Huang W75 Kursumlijska Banja Qual · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 09/08 | Matilde Paoletti W75 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 2-7 | L |
| 21/07 | Julia Grabher W100 Amstetten |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 15/07 | Julia Grabher WTA Kitzbuhel · Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 13/07 | Yasmine Kabbaj WTA Kitzbuhel · Clay |
2-1 | 14-13 | W |
| 18/06 | Martina Colmegna W35 Mohammedia · ~Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
Samira De Stefano
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/08 | Natalija Senic W50 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 21/08 | Luna Vujovic W75 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
1-2 | 10-14 | L |
| 20/08 | Miriam Bulgaru W75 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 18/08 | Antonia Rivera W75 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-1 | 14-12 | W |
| 13/08 | Alicia Herrero Linana W50 Hamburg |
1-2 | 14-13 | L |
| 11/08 | Francesca Parcelli W50 Hamburg |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 28/07 | Tessa Johanna Brockmann W75 Hechingen |
1-2 | 15-19 | L |
| 23/07 | Loes Ebeling Koning W50 Horb |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 21/07 | Tamila Gadamauri W50 Horb |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 04/05 | Daria Snigur WTA Rome · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Ekaterina Perelygina vs Samira De Stefano?
Our model gives 65% to Samira De Stefano, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.