Tennis · W15 Torello · 27/08, 10:00
Prediction: Kate Sharabura vs Anne Christine Lutkemeyer Obregon
Team pages: Kate Sharabura · Anne Christine Lutkemeyer Obregon
Prediction summary
Winner
Kate Sharabura
Anne Christine Lutkemeyer Obregon
Estimated games
21.4
Recent form · 10 last
Kate Sharabura
5-5 (W-L)
Anne Christine Lutkemeyer Obregon
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Kate Sharabura 1479 · Anne Christine Lutkemeyer Obregon 1535
| Kate Sharabura | Anne Christine Lutkemeyer Obregon | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 42% | 58% |
| Market | 8% | 92% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Anne Christine Lutkemeyer Obregon (rating 1479 vs 1535).
- Note: Anne Christine Lutkemeyer Obregon makes many double faults (4.4/match).
Statistics
| Kate Sharabura | Anne Christine Lutkemeyer Obregon | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 40% (10) | 67% (3) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1-1.3 | 1.3-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.5-11.6 | 11.2-11.2 |
| Aces | 2.9 | 1.3 |
| Double faults | 3.9 | 4.4 |
| 1st serve % | 63.5% | 60.4% |
| Break % | 48.3% | 49.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.4
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Kate Sharabura
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/08 | Ariadna Garcia Patron Canals W15 Torello · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 25/08 | Sofia Montesinos Vilanova W15 Torello · ~Hard |
2-1 | 11-8 | W |
| 08/08 | Monika Wojcik UTR Pro Auburn Women · Hard |
1-2 | 16-19 | L |
| 07/08 | Esther Lovato UTR Pro Auburn Women · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 07/08 | Lexie Weir UTR Pro Auburn Women · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 05/08 | Gabby Barrera UTR Pro Auburn Women · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 04/08 | Kaya Moe UTR Pro Auburn Women · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 23/05 | Georgia Kulevich UTR Pro Tuscaloosa Women · Hard |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 22/05 | Germany Davis UTR Pro Tuscaloosa Women · Hard |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 21/05 | Addison Bowman UTR Pro Tuscaloosa Women · Hard |
1-2 | 11-17 | L |
Anne Christine Lutkemeyer Obregon
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/08 | Aleksandra Pozarenko W15 Torello · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 08/08 | Annika Penickova W35 Southaven |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 07/08 | Carson Tanguilig W35 Southaven |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 07/08 | Gloriana Nahum W35 Southaven |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 05/08 | Victoria Rodriguez W35 Southaven |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 30/07 | Ekaterina Khayrutdinova W35 Florence |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 29/07 | Anita Sahdiieva W35 Florence |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 21/07 | Mayu Crossley W35 Santa Fe |
1-2 | 12-17 | L |
| 02/07 | Alina Shcherbinina W15 San Diego · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 02/07 | Jade Otway W15 San Diego · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Kate Sharabura vs Anne Christine Lutkemeyer Obregon?
Our model gives 77% to Anne Christine Lutkemeyer Obregon, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.