Tennis · W15 Torello · 27/08, 10:00

Prediction: Sayaka Ishii vs Alice Ferlito

Team pages: Sayaka Ishii · Alice Ferlito

Prediction summary
Winner
67% 33%
Sayaka Ishii Alice Ferlito
Estimated games
20.6
Recent form · 10 last
Sayaka Ishii 5-5 (W-L)
LWWLWLLWLW
Alice Ferlito 5-5 (W-L)
LLWLWLWLWW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Sayaka Ishii 1530 · Alice Ferlito 1487
Sayaka IshiiAlice Ferlito
Our model56%44%
Market77%23%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Sayaka Ishii (rating 1530 vs 1487).
  • Note: Sayaka Ishii makes many double faults (4.4/match).
  • Note: Alice Ferlito makes many double faults (4.6/match).

Statistics

Sayaka IshiiAlice Ferlito
Win %60%40%
Win % · Hard 75% (4) 100% (1)
Sets (G-P)1.2-0.91.3-1.2
Games (G-P)10.5-9.310.8-10.4
Aces1.81.3
Double faults4.44.6
1st serve %62.3%56.6%
Break %64.8%55.5%
Estimated total games (ours) 20.6

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Sayaka Ishii

LWWLW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
26/08 Neus Torner Sensano
W15 Torello · ~Hard
2-0 13-7 W
21/08 Juliana Giaccio
W15 Logrono
0-2 3-12 L
20/08 Valentina Losciale
W15 Logrono
2-0 12-7 W
19/08 Jordina Font
W15 Logrono
2-1 19-13 W
10/08 Katarina Kujovic
W35 Aldershot
0-2 9-13 L
09/08 Erin Pearce
W35 Aldershot
2-0 12-3 W
05/08 Amelia Rajecki
W35 Roehampton · ~Hard
0-2 8-13 L
03/08 Gabriella Da Silva Fick
W35 Roehampton · ~Hard
2-0 14-11 W
02/08 Summer Yardley
W35 Roehampton · ~Hard
2-0 12-2 W
31/07 Rina Saigo
W35 Aldershot
0-2 3-12 L

Alice Ferlito

LWLLW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
26/08 Ana Maye Martinez
W15 Torello · ~Hard
2-0 12-5 W
11/08 Emily Sartz-Lunde
W35 Vigo
1-2 10-11 L
03/08 Anna Kubareva
W75 Ourense
1-2 9-13 L
02/08 Alba Maria Coromina Boluda
W75 Ourense
2-0 12-6 W
13/07 Zoziya Kardava
W75 Vitoria Gasteiz
1-2 16-19 L
12/07 Aaddi Gupta
W75 Vitoria Gasteiz
2-0 12-5 W
06/07 Vaishnavi Adkar
W50 Corroios-Seixal
1-2 9-14 L
05/07 Amanda Montes Khaghani
W50 Corroios-Seixal
2-0 13-5 W
10/06 Ruth Roura Llaverias
W15 Madrid
0-2 4-12 L
31/05 Beatrice Ricci
W75 Caserta · ~Clay
1-2 11-14 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Sayaka Ishii vs Alice Ferlito?

Our model gives 67% to Sayaka Ishii, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.