Tennis · W15 Tianjin · 27/08, 04:00
Prediction: Han Shi vs Yingqun Sun
Team pages: Han Shi · Yingqun Sun
Prediction summary
Winner
Han Shi
Yingqun Sun
Estimated games
20.8
Recent form · 10 last
Han Shi
7-3 (W-L)
Yingqun Sun
4-6 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Han Shi
1–1
Yingqun Sun
(2 last)
- 14 May2-0 12-5W
- 06 Sept0-2 9-13L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Han Shi 1578 · Yingqun Sun 1477
| Han Shi | Yingqun Sun | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 64% | 36% |
| Market | 90% | 10% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Han Shi (rating 1578 vs 1477).
- Han Shi is in better form: 80% recent wins.
- Note: Han Shi makes many double faults (4.8/match).
Statistics
| Han Shi | Yingqun Sun | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 100% (2) | 43% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.7-0.7 | 0.8-1.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.6-8.4 | 9.3-11.8 |
| Aces | 1.8 | 0.9 |
| Double faults | 4.8 | 3.2 |
| 1st serve % | 64.9% | 61.4% |
| Break % | 52.6% | 55.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.8
H2H · Han Shi 1 – 1 Yingqun Sun (2)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Han Shi 1–1 Yingqun Sun
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14/05/24 ITF W50 Anning | 2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 06/09/23 ITF W15 Shenzhen | 0-2 | 9-13 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Han Shi
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/08 | Shiyu Ye W15 Tianjin |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 17/07 | Martyna Kubka W75 Vitoria Gasteiz |
1-2 | 12-17 | L |
| 16/07 | Ruien Zhang W75 Vitoria Gasteiz |
2-1 | 15-10 | W |
| 15/07 | Ida Wobker W75 Vitoria Gasteiz |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 11/07 | Xinyu Gao W50 Corroios-Seixal |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 10/07 | Susan Bandecchi W50 Corroios-Seixal |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 09/07 | Deniz Dilek W50 Corroios-Seixal |
2-1 | 16-10 | W |
| 08/07 | Gabriela Knutson W50 Corroios-Seixal |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 05/07 | Matilde Jorge W50 Elvas · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 04/07 | Carol Young Suh Lee W50 Elvas · ~Hard |
2-1 | 13-12 | W |
Yingqun Sun
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/08 | Yuno Kitahara W15 Tianjin |
2-1 | 16-15 | W |
| 19/08 | Ya-Yi Yang W15 Tianjin |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 12/08 | Chia Yi Tsao W15 Tianjin |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 16/07 | Anastasiia Gureva W15 Luan · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 15/07 | Onyu Choi W15 Luan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 10/07 | Maria Kalyakina W15 Luan · ~Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 09/07 | Maralgoo Chogsomjav W15 Luan · ~Hard |
2-1 | 12-14 | W |
| 08/07 | Sijia Wei W15 Luan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 8-5 | W |
| 16/06 | Jinyu Zhou W35 Zhengzhou · ~Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 08/06 | Mutsumi Uemura W15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Han Shi vs Yingqun Sun?
Our model gives 78% to Han Shi, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.