Tennis · W15 Tianjin · 28/08, 04:00
Prediction: Han Shi vs Jia-Jing Lu
Team pages: Han Shi · Jia-Jing Lu
Prediction summary
Winner
Han Shi
Jia-Jing Lu
Estimated games
21.8
Recent form · 10 last
Han Shi
7-3 (W-L)
Jia-Jing Lu
7-3 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Han Shi
4–1
Jia-Jing Lu
(5 last)
- 27 May2-0 12-6W
- 16 Apr2-1 15-13W
- 16 Jun2-1 15-13W
- 18 May2-0 12-5W
- 14 Sept1-2 15-17L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Han Shi 1596 · Jia-Jing Lu 1521
| Han Shi | Jia-Jing Lu | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 61% | 39% |
| Market | 69% | 31% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Han Shi (rating 1596 vs 1521).
- Head-to-head: Han Shi 4–1 Jia-Jing Lu (5).
- Note: Han Shi makes many double faults (4.8/match).
- Note: Jia-Jing Lu makes many double faults (5.6/match).
Statistics
| Han Shi | Jia-Jing Lu | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 100% (1) | 50% (2) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.7-0.6 | 1.5-0.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.5-7.6 | 12.2-10.2 |
| Aces | 1.4 | 2.8 |
| Double faults | 4.8 | 5.6 |
| 1st serve % | 64.5% | 66.7% |
| Break % | 56.2% | 51.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.8
H2H · Han Shi 4 – 1 Jia-Jing Lu (5)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Han Shi 4–1 Jia-Jing Lu
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 27/05/26 W35 Wuning | 2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 16/04/26 W35 Luzhou | 2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 16/06/24 ITF W50 Taizhou | 2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 18/05/24 ITF W50 Anning | 2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 14/09/23 ITF W25 Guiyang | 1-2 | 15-17 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Han Shi
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/08 | Yingqun Sun W15 Tianjin |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 25/08 | Shiyu Ye W15 Tianjin |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 17/07 | Martyna Kubka W75 Vitoria Gasteiz |
1-2 | 12-17 | L |
| 16/07 | Ruien Zhang W75 Vitoria Gasteiz |
2-1 | 15-10 | W |
| 15/07 | Ida Wobker W75 Vitoria Gasteiz |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 11/07 | Xinyu Gao W50 Corroios-Seixal |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 10/07 | Susan Bandecchi W50 Corroios-Seixal |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 09/07 | Deniz Dilek W50 Corroios-Seixal |
2-1 | 16-10 | W |
| 08/07 | Gabriela Knutson W50 Corroios-Seixal |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 05/07 | Matilde Jorge W50 Elvas · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
Jia-Jing Lu
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/08 | Patcharin Cheapchandej W15 Tianjin |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 26/08 | Sijia Wei W15 Tianjin |
2-1 | 17-17 | W |
| 07/08 | Annika Penickova W35 Southaven |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 06/08 | Aspen Schuman W35 Southaven |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 05/08 | Piper Charney W35 Southaven |
2-0 | 14-10 | W |
| 29/07 | Mai Hontama WTA Vancouver · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 28/07 | Caroline Dolehide WTA Vancouver · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 25/07 | Teah Chavez W35 Saskatoon |
1-2 | 13-14 | L |
| 24/07 | Isabella Marton W35 Saskatoon |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 23/07 | Dasha Plekhanova W35 Saskatoon |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Han Shi vs Jia-Jing Lu?
Our model gives 65% to Han Shi, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.