Tennis · Challenger Augsburg · 26/08, 17:00
Prediction: Marvin Moeller vs Matias Soto
Team pages: Marvin Moeller · Matias Soto
Prediction summary
Winner
Marvin Moeller
Matias Soto
Estimated games
22.6
Recent form · 10 last
Marvin Moeller
6-4 (W-L)
Matias Soto
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Marvin Moeller 1545 · Matias Soto 1548
| Marvin Moeller | Matias Soto | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 50% | 50% |
| Market | 66% | 34% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Marvin Moeller | Matias Soto | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 70% |
| Win % · Clay | 70% (10) | 71% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-0.9 | 1.4-0.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.8-11.1 | 11.1-9.7 |
| Aces | 2.8 | 5.6 |
| Double faults | 3.3 | 2.8 |
| 1st serve % | 68% | 72.2% |
| Break % | 27.3% | 43.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.6
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Marvin Moeller
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/08 | Thomas Faurel Challenger Augsburg · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 18/08 | Dimitar Kuzmanov Challenger Sion · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 16/08 | Jan Kumstat Challenger Hamburg · Clay |
1-2 | 17-18 | L |
| 15/08 | Matej Dodig Challenger Hamburg · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 14/08 | Niels McDonald Challenger Hamburg · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 12/08 | Raul Brancaccio Challenger Hamburg · Clay |
2-1 | 19-19 | W |
| 10/08 | Cezar Cretu Challenger Hamburg · Clay |
2-1 | 17-12 | W |
| 10/07 | Hugo Gaston Challenger Braunschweig · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 07/07 | Benito Sanchez Martinez Challenger Braunschweig · Clay |
2-1 | 13-15 | W |
| 05/07 | Kilian Feldbausch Challenger Troyes · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
Matias Soto
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/08 | Oleksii Krutykh Challenger Augsburg · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 18/08 | Rudolf Molleker Challenger Prague · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 24/07 | Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves M25 Sao Paulo |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 23/07 | Rafael Tosetto M25 Sao Paulo |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 22/07 | Gabriel P Tumasonis M25 Sao Paulo |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 12/07 | Nicolas Mejia Challenger Bogota · Clay |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 11/07 | Lorenzo Claverie Challenger Bogota · Clay |
2-0 | 14-10 | W |
| 10/07 | Lucas Andrade da Silva Challenger Bogota · Clay |
2-1 | 18-12 | W |
| 08/07 | Alan Magadan Challenger Bogota · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 07/07 | Juan Sebastian Osorio Challenger Bogota · Clay |
2-1 | 15-10 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Marvin Moeller vs Matias Soto?
Our model gives 59% to Marvin Moeller, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.