Tennis · Challenger Augsburg · 27/08, 17:00
Prediction: Cezar Cretu vs Marvin Moeller
Team pages: Cezar Cretu · Marvin Moeller
Prediction summary
Winner
Cezar Cretu
Marvin Moeller
Estimated games
22
Recent form · 10 last
Cezar Cretu
4-6 (W-L)
Marvin Moeller
6-4 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Cezar Cretu
1–1
Marvin Moeller
(2 last)
- 10 Aug1-2 12-17L
- 05 Aug2-0 12-5W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Cezar Cretu 1485 · Marvin Moeller 1579
| Cezar Cretu | Marvin Moeller | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 37% | 63% |
| Market | 44% | 56% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Marvin Moeller (rating 1485 vs 1579).
- Marvin Moeller is in better form: 70% recent wins.
Statistics
| Cezar Cretu | Marvin Moeller | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 70% |
| Win % · Clay | 40% (10) | 70% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1-1.3 | 1.5-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.6-11.2 | 12.8-11.1 |
| Aces | 2.7 | 4 |
| Double faults | 1.8 | 3 |
| 1st serve % | 62.1% | 72.2% |
| Break % | 32.3% | 28.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22
H2H · Cezar Cretu 1 – 1 Marvin Moeller (2)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Cezar Cretu 1–1 Marvin Moeller
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10/08/26 Challenger Hamburg | 1-2 | 12-17 | L |
| 05/08/24 Challenger Cordenons | 2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Cezar Cretu
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/08 | Miguel Damas Challenger Augsburg · Clay |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 25/08 | Niels McDonald Challenger Augsburg · Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 19/08 | Maxim Mrva Challenger Prague · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 17/08 | Thomas Faurel Challenger Prague · Clay |
2-1 | 14-12 | W |
| 10/08 | Marvin Moeller Challenger Hamburg · Clay |
1-2 | 12-17 | L |
| 21/07 | Anton Matusevich Challenger Zug · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 14/07 | Sumit Nagal Challenger Cordenons · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 09/07 | Gustavo Heide Challenger Iasi · Clay |
1-2 | 14-15 | L |
| 07/07 | Alex Marti Pujolras Challenger Iasi · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 30/06 | Olle Wallin Challenger Brasov · Clay |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
Marvin Moeller
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/08 | Matias Soto Challenger Augsburg · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 25/08 | Thomas Faurel Challenger Augsburg · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 18/08 | Dimitar Kuzmanov Challenger Sion · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 16/08 | Jan Kumstat Challenger Hamburg · Clay |
1-2 | 17-18 | L |
| 15/08 | Matej Dodig Challenger Hamburg · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 14/08 | Niels McDonald Challenger Hamburg · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 12/08 | Raul Brancaccio Challenger Hamburg · Clay |
2-1 | 19-19 | W |
| 10/08 | Cezar Cretu Challenger Hamburg · Clay |
2-1 | 17-12 | W |
| 10/07 | Hugo Gaston Challenger Braunschweig · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 07/07 | Benito Sanchez Martinez Challenger Braunschweig · Clay |
2-1 | 13-15 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Cezar Cretu vs Marvin Moeller?
Our model gives 59% to Marvin Moeller, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.