Tennis · Challenger Augsburg · 26/08, 13:30

Prediction: Cezar Cretu vs Miguel Damas

Team pages: Cezar Cretu · Miguel Damas

Prediction summary
Winner
56% 44%
Cezar Cretu Miguel Damas
Estimated games
21.1
Recent form · 10 last
Cezar Cretu 3-7 (W-L)
LLWWLLLLLW
Miguel Damas 5-5 (W-L)
WWLWLLLWLW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Cezar Cretu 1461 · Miguel Damas 1500
Cezar CretuMiguel Damas
Our model44%56%
Market66%34%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Statistics

Cezar CretuMiguel Damas
Win %30%50%
Win % · Clay 30% (10) 50% (10)
Sets (G-P)0.9-1.51.1-1.2
Games (G-P)9.2-11.69.9-11.2
Aces1.91.1
Double faults22.4
1st serve %61%56.9%
Break %33.9%43.6%
Estimated total games (ours) 21.1

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Cezar Cretu

LLWLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
25/08 Niels McDonald
Challenger Augsburg · Clay
2-0 12-2 W
19/08 Maxim Mrva
Challenger Prague · Clay
0-2 3-12 L
17/08 Thomas Faurel
Challenger Prague · Clay
2-1 14-12 W
10/08 Marvin Moeller
Challenger Hamburg · Clay
1-2 12-17 L
21/07 Anton Matusevich
Challenger Zug · Clay
0-2 3-12 L
14/07 Sumit Nagal
Challenger Cordenons · Clay
0-2 6-12 L
09/07 Gustavo Heide
Challenger Iasi · Clay
1-2 14-15 L
07/07 Alex Marti Pujolras
Challenger Iasi · Clay
2-0 12-5 W
30/06 Olle Wallin
Challenger Brasov · Clay
0-2 6-13 L
26/06 Sumit Nagal
Challenger Targu Mures · Clay
1-2 10-16 L

Miguel Damas

LLLLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
24/08 Marko Topo
Challenger Augsburg · Clay
2-0 12-7 W
17/08 Kimmer Coppejans
Challenger Prague · Clay
0-2 6-13 L
26/07 Dimitris Sakellaridis
Challenger Bonn · Clay
1-2 9-14 L
21/07 Mika Brunold
Challenger Zug · Clay
0-2 1-12 L
14/07 Adolfo Daniel Vallejo
ATP Bastad · Clay
0-2 6-12 L
13/07 Thomas Faurel
ATP Bastad · Clay
2-1 16-16 W
12/07 Nikola Slavic
ATP Bastad · Clay
2-0 12-5 W
11/07 Lorenzo Giustino
Challenger Liege · Clay
0-2 9-13 L
10/07 Manas Manoj Dhamne
Challenger Liege · Clay
2-0 13-7 W
08/07 Gilles Arnaud Bailly
Challenger Liege · Clay
2-1 15-13 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Cezar Cretu vs Miguel Damas?

Our model gives 56% to Cezar Cretu, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.