Tennis · Challenger Augsburg · 26/08, 13:30
Prediction: Facundo Mena vs Kai Wehnelt
Team pages: Facundo Mena · Kai Wehnelt
Prediction summary
Winner
Facundo Mena
Kai Wehnelt
Estimated games
22.2
Recent form · 10 last
Facundo Mena
1-9 (W-L)
Kai Wehnelt
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Facundo Mena 1461 · Kai Wehnelt 1560
| Facundo Mena | Kai Wehnelt | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 36% | 64% |
| Market | 59% | 41% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Kai Wehnelt (rating 1461 vs 1560).
- Kai Wehnelt dominates on serve: 6.7 aces and 52.9% break avg.
- Kai Wehnelt is in better form: 70% recent wins.
Statistics
| Facundo Mena | Kai Wehnelt | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 70% |
| Win % · Clay | 38% (8) | 71% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.7-1.6 | 1.6-0.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.8-12.7 | 12.2-9.7 |
| Aces | 5.1 | 6.7 |
| Double faults | 3.8 | 2.9 |
| 1st serve % | 71.7% | 77.8% |
| Break % | 27.7% | 52.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.2
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Facundo Mena
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/08 | Max Hans Rehberg Challenger Augsburg · Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 18/08 | Juan Manuel La Serna Challenger Sion · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 11/08 | Thomas Faurel Challenger Todi · Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 03/08 | Tomasz Berkieta Challenger Grodzisk Mazowiecki · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 21/07 | Ivan Marrero Curbelo Challenger Segovia · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 10/07 | Lorenzo Claverie Challenger Bogota · Clay |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 09/07 | Tristan McCormick Challenger Bogota · Clay |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 07/07 | Alafia Ayeni Challenger Bogota · Clay |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 30/06 | Valerio Aboian Challenger Quito · Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 07/05 | Miguel Tobon Challenger Santos · Clay |
1-2 | 9-14 | L |
Kai Wehnelt
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/08 | Nick Hardt Challenger Augsburg · Clay |
2-1 | 14-11 | W |
| 24/08 | Robert Strombachs Challenger Augsburg · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 23/08 | Daniel Siniakov Challenger Augsburg · Clay |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 18/08 | Calvin Hemery Challenger Sion · Clay |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 18/08 | Nino Ehrenschneider Challenger Sion · Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 16/08 | Noah Karma Challenger Sion · Clay |
2-1 | 18-12 | W |
| 14/08 | Louis Wessels M25 Muttenz |
1-2 | 10-16 | L |
| 13/08 | Flynn Thomas M25 Muttenz |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 11/08 | Thomas Gunzinger M25 Muttenz |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 07/07 | Florian Broska Challenger Liege · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Facundo Mena vs Kai Wehnelt?
Our model gives 51% to Kai Wehnelt, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.