Tennis · WTA Monterrey · 26/08, 23:00
Prediction: Cristina Bucsa vs Darja Vidmanova
Team pages: Cristina Bucsa · Darja Vidmanova
Prediction summary
Winner
Cristina Bucsa
Darja Vidmanova
Estimated games
22.6
Recent form · 10 last
Cristina Bucsa
4-6 (W-L)
Darja Vidmanova
10-0 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Cristina Bucsa
1–0
Darja Vidmanova
(1 last)
- 05 Mar2-0 12-4W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Cristina Bucsa 1466 · Darja Vidmanova 1565
| Cristina Bucsa | Darja Vidmanova | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 36% | 64% |
| Market | 41% | 59% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Darja Vidmanova (rating 1466 vs 1565).
- Darja Vidmanova is in better form: 70% recent wins.
- Head-to-head: Cristina Bucsa 1–0 Darja Vidmanova (1).
Statistics
| Cristina Bucsa | Darja Vidmanova | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 20% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 33% (6) | 78% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.8-1.7 | 1.7-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.2-13.5 | 13.3-11 |
| Aces | 1.5 | 5.9 |
| Double faults | 3.9 | 2.4 |
| 1st serve % | 59.1% | 66.1% |
| Break % | 36.6% | 55.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.6
H2H · Cristina Bucsa 1 – 0 Darja Vidmanova (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Cristina Bucsa 1–0 Darja Vidmanova
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 05/03/26 WTA Indian Wells | 2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Cristina Bucsa
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/08 | Anna Bondar WTA Monterrey · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 15/08 | Maja Chwalinska WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 13/08 | Panna Udvardy WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
2-1 | 14-13 | W |
| 02/08 | Moyuka Uchijima WTA Toronto · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 28/07 | Polina Kudermetova WTA Washington · Hard |
1-2 | 13-18 | L |
| 25/05 | Susan Bandecchi French Open Women · Clay |
1-2 | 14-14 | L |
| 19/05 | Shuai Zhang WTA Strasbourg · Clay |
1-2 | 17-16 | L |
| 07/05 | Qinwen Zheng WTA Rome · Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 24/04 | Zeynep Sonmez WTA Madrid · Clay |
1-2 | 10-18 | L |
| 08/03 | Elise Mertens WTA Indian Wells · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
Darja Vidmanova
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/08 | Kimberly Birrell WTA Monterrey · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 23/08 | Panna Udvardy WTA Monterrey · Hard |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
| 22/08 | Caroline Werner WTA Monterrey · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 13/08 | Anhelina Kalinina WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 02/08 | Kristina Liutova WTA Memphis · Hard |
1-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 01/08 | Renata Zarazua WTA Memphis · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 01/08 | Katie Volynets WTA Memphis · Hard |
2-1 | 18-12 | W |
| 31/07 | Sloane Stephens WTA Memphis · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 29/07 | Marina Bassols Ribera WTA Memphis · Hard |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
| 23/07 | Yeon Woo Ku W100 Evansville |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Cristina Bucsa vs Darja Vidmanova?
Our model gives 61% to Darja Vidmanova, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.