Tennis · W15 Torello · 26/08, 10:00
Prediction: Kate Sharabura vs Ariadna Garcia Patron Canals
Team pages: Kate Sharabura · Ariadna Garcia Patron Canals
Prediction summary
Winner
Kate Sharabura
Ariadna Garcia Patron Canals
Estimated games
20.9
Recent form · 10 last
Kate Sharabura
5-5 (W-L)
Ariadna Garcia Patron Canals
3-7 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Kate Sharabura 1469 · Ariadna Garcia Patron Canals 1386
| Kate Sharabura | Ariadna Garcia Patron Canals | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 62% | 38% |
| Market | 41% | 59% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Kate Sharabura (rating 1469 vs 1386).
- Kate Sharabura is in better form: 40% recent wins.
- Note: Kate Sharabura makes many double faults (4/match).
Statistics
| Kate Sharabura | Ariadna Garcia Patron Canals | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 10% |
| Win % · Hard | 40% (10) | 0% (1) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1-1.3 | 0.5-1.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.6-12.2 | 7.2-12.9 |
| Aces | 2.8 | 0.1 |
| Double faults | 4 | 3.8 |
| 1st serve % | 62.2% | 48.3% |
| Break % | 45.8% | 45.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.9
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Kate Sharabura
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/08 | Sofia Montesinos Vilanova W15 Torello · ~Hard |
2-1 | 11-8 | W |
| 08/08 | Monika Wojcik UTR Pro Auburn Women · Hard |
1-2 | 16-19 | L |
| 07/08 | Esther Lovato UTR Pro Auburn Women · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 07/08 | Lexie Weir UTR Pro Auburn Women · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 05/08 | Gabby Barrera UTR Pro Auburn Women · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 04/08 | Kaya Moe UTR Pro Auburn Women · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 23/05 | Georgia Kulevich UTR Pro Tuscaloosa Women · Hard |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 22/05 | Germany Davis UTR Pro Tuscaloosa Women · Hard |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 21/05 | Addison Bowman UTR Pro Tuscaloosa Women · Hard |
1-2 | 11-17 | L |
| 20/05 | Baylen Brown UTR Pro Tuscaloosa Women · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
Ariadna Garcia Patron Canals
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/08 | Zoziya Kardava W15 Logrono |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 04/08 | Denislava Glushkova W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 03/08 | Aya El Aouni W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 28/07 | Ustiniya Lekomtseva W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 0-12 | L |
| 22/07 | Noemi Maines W15 Gran Canaria |
1-2 | 15-18 | L |
| 10/02 | Midori Castillo Meza W15 Manacor |
0-2 | 2-11 | L |
| 13/11 | Cristina Diaz Adrover ITF W15 Nules · Clay |
1-2 | 9-18 | L |
| 11/11 | Ginebra Zoe Dominguez Riveros ITF W15 Nules · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 20/10 | Stefaniya Pushkar ITF W15 Villena · Hard |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 07/10 | Neus Torner Sensano ITF W35 Seville · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Kate Sharabura vs Ariadna Garcia Patron Canals?
Our model gives 50% to Kate Sharabura, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.